Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). OHIO wins about 53% of the time at a number like ours.
OHIO
Games
4
Plays per game
66.2
Drives per game
10.2
SP+
-10.5 (109th, offence 105th, defence 101st)
Returning production
63% (pass 94%, rush 100%, receiving 17%)
SAC
Games
5
Plays per game
69.8
Drives per game
12.2
SP+
-22.9 (131st, offence 133rd, defence 124th)
Returning production
— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
OHIO
SAC
pass rate, all downs
43%105th
58%9th
pass rate, standard downs
39%93rd
47%32nd
pass rate, 1st down
41%84th
46%44th
no-huddle share
89%23rd
16%116th
pass rate, red zone
33%95th
51%16th
pass rate, passing downs
53%118th
85%2nd
seconds per play (own drives)
30.437th
28.577th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
OHIO offence
OHIO offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.223
265
53 of 138
success rate
0.442
265
69 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.257
265
57 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.286
265
16 of 138
rush: success rate
0.463
265
57 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.053
265
36 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.104
265
107 of 138
pass: success rate
0.396
265
100 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.555
265
69 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.516
265
47 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.272
265
104 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.566
265
14 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.101
265
8 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.864
265
12 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.280
265
51 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.137
265
63 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.070
265
31 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.067
265
103 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.700
265
88 of 138
SAC offence
SAC offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.061
349
131 of 138
success rate
0.418
349
95 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.005
349
136 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.089
349
131 of 138
rush: success rate
0.476
349
41 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.705
349
131 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.002
349
123 of 138
pass: success rate
0.387
349
103 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.274
349
132 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.496
349
64 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.228
349
126 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.691
349
121 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.252
349
135 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.750
349
70 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.552
349
129 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.169
349
108 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.083
349
58 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.086
349
132 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.100
349
62 of 138
OHIO defence
OHIO defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.276
257
131 of 138
success rate
0.432
257
100 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.381
257
121 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.147
257
115 of 138
rush: success rate
0.405
257
71 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.088
257
118 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.490
257
135 of 138
pass: success rate
0.480
257
123 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.774
257
118 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.440
257
60 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.413
257
134 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.833
257
67 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.209
257
88 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.762
257
91 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.350
257
138 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.158
257
63 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.112
257
93 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.046
257
33 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.600
257
60 of 138
SAC defence
SAC defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.125
303
97 of 138
success rate
0.360
303
40 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.417
303
128 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.037
303
43 of 138
rush: success rate
0.323
303
22 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.113
303
121 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.341
303
119 of 138
pass: success rate
0.414
303
82 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.674
303
105 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.436
303
58 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.208
303
14 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.912
303
83 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.180
303
49 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.500
303
9 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.821
303
100 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.122
303
15 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.089
303
53 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.033
303
7 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.200
303
72 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs