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The units, side by side

KENTWMUbar = FBS percentile, longer is better · dotted tick = median teamOffence: points per play — offence930Offence: points per play — defence1238Offence: success rate — offence122Offence: success rate — defence49Offence: explosiveness — offence8528Offence: explosiveness — defence3693Run game — offence755Run game — defence2153Pass game — offence289Pass game — defence1742Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — offence1827Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — defence1826Havoc (allowed vs created) — offence2965Havoc (allowed vs created) — defence7298

Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.

What actually happens around a number like this

tiecardsKENT by 28WMU by 52

Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). WMU wins about 77% of the time at a number like ours.

KENT

Games4
Plays per game61.5
Drives per game11.5
SP+-22.4 (130th, offence 132nd, defence 122nd)
Returning production64% (pass 103%, rush 76%, receiving 45%)

WMU

Games4
Plays per game61.2
Drives per game10.8
SP+-7.2 (96th, offence 113th, defence 72nd)
Returning production100% (pass 100%, rush 100%, receiving 100%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceKENTWMU
pass rate, all downs42%113th43%109th
pass rate, standard downs34%117th39%89th
pass rate, 1st down27%133rd46%49th
no-huddle share58%74th19%113th
pass rate, passing downs54%115th50%128th
pass rate, red zone33%90th18%131st
seconds per play (own drives)31.616th33.63rd

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

KENT offence

KENT offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.028246126 of 138
success rate0.313246137 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.36824622 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.079246129 of 138
rush: success rate0.331246135 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.97224667 of 138
pass: points added per play0.126246100 of 138
pass: success rate0.296246135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.9782465 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.372246136 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.224246129 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.778246113 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.223246123 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.615246118 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.895246125 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16324698 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08524663 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.077246121 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)74.60024612 of 138

WMU offence

WMU offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.09324597 of 138
success rate0.400245108 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.16724599 of 138
rush: points added per play0.14724563 of 138
rush: success rate0.41324597 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.97924564 of 138
pass: points added per play-0.006245126 of 138
pass: success rate0.380245111 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.426245106 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.450245108 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.30624575 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.870245101 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16724567 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.73724578 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.36424542 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13124549 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09424586 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03724523 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.60024592 of 138

KENT defence

KENT defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.201249121 of 138
success rate0.474249133 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27224989 of 138
rush: points added per play0.133249109 of 138
rush: success rate0.43424998 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.89024961 of 138
pass: points added per play0.312249115 of 138
pass: success rate0.517249135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.55524971 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.556249137 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.26124949 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.189249113 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.15624928 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.842249120 of 138
points per trip inside the 405.261249137 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14124939 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.10024972 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04024917 of 138
opponent average starting field position70.10024936 of 138

WMU defence

WMU defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.09926986 of 138
success rate0.465269125 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.02526910 of 138
rush: points added per play0.02226966 of 138
rush: success rate0.450269108 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.72026918 of 138
pass: points added per play0.17326981 of 138
pass: success rate0.464269115 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.44026942 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.47726991 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.432269137 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.051269103 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.17226941 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.72026970 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.65026989 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.1082694 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.0562693 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.05226945 of 138
opponent average starting field position76.300269132 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs