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Saturday 2026-10-03 15:30 · Dix Stadium
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The units, side by side

OHIOKENTbar = FBS percentile, longer is better · dotted tick = median teamOffence: points per play — offence629Offence: points per play — defence512Offence: success rate — offence501Offence: success rate — defence284Offence: explosiveness — offence5985Offence: explosiveness — defence1236Run game — offence897Run game — defence1721Pass game — offence2328Pass game — defence217Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — offence9118Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — defence5218Havoc (allowed vs created) — offence5529Havoc (allowed vs created) — defence5572

Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.

What actually happens around a number like this

tiecardsmarketOHIO by 36KENT by 44

Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). KENT wins about 59% of the time at a number like ours.

OHIO

Games4
Plays per game66.2
Drives per game10.2
SP+-10.5 (109th, offence 105th, defence 101st)
Returning production63% (pass 94%, rush 100%, receiving 17%)

KENT

Games4
Plays per game61.5
Drives per game11.5
SP+-22.4 (130th, offence 132nd, defence 122nd)
Returning production64% (pass 103%, rush 76%, receiving 45%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceOHIOKENT
pass rate, all downs43%105th42%113th
pass rate, standard downs39%93rd34%117th
pass rate, 1st down41%84th27%133rd
no-huddle share89%23rd58%74th
pass rate, red zone33%95th33%90th
pass rate, passing downs53%118th54%115th
seconds per play (own drives)30.437th31.616th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

OHIO offence

OHIO offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.22326553 of 138
success rate0.44226569 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.25726557 of 138
rush: points added per play0.28626516 of 138
rush: success rate0.46326557 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.05326536 of 138
pass: points added per play0.104265107 of 138
pass: success rate0.396265100 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.55526569 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.51626547 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.272265104 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.56626514 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.1012658 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.86426512 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.28026551 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13726563 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07026531 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.067265103 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.70026588 of 138

KENT offence

KENT offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.028246126 of 138
success rate0.313246137 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.36824622 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.079246129 of 138
rush: success rate0.331246135 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.97224667 of 138
pass: points added per play0.126246100 of 138
pass: success rate0.296246135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.9782465 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.372246136 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.224246129 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.778246113 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.223246123 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.615246118 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.895246125 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16324698 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08524663 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.077246121 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)74.60024612 of 138

OHIO defence

OHIO defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.276257131 of 138
success rate0.432257100 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.381257121 of 138
rush: points added per play0.147257115 of 138
rush: success rate0.40525771 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.088257118 of 138
pass: points added per play0.490257135 of 138
pass: success rate0.480257123 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.774257118 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.44025760 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.413257134 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.83325767 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.20925788 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.76225791 of 138
points per trip inside the 405.350257138 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15825763 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.11225793 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04625733 of 138
opponent average starting field position71.60025760 of 138

KENT defence

KENT defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.201249121 of 138
success rate0.474249133 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27224989 of 138
rush: points added per play0.133249109 of 138
rush: success rate0.43424998 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.89024961 of 138
pass: points added per play0.312249115 of 138
pass: success rate0.517249135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.55524971 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.556249137 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.26124949 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.189249113 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.15624928 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.842249120 of 138
points per trip inside the 405.261249137 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14124939 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.10024972 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04024917 of 138
opponent average starting field position70.10024936 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs