Ball State · away
at
Final BALL 13 – 26 KENT
Saturday 2026-09-26 12:00 · Dix Stadium
Kent State · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The units, side by side

BALLKENTbar = FBS percentile, longer is better · dotted tick = median teamOffence: points per play — offence209Offence: points per play — defence112Offence: success rate — offence41Offence: success rate — defence154Offence: explosiveness — offence9185Offence: explosiveness — defence436Run game — offence407Run game — defence421Pass game — offence2128Pass game — defence517Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — offence418Line yards (O-line vs D-line) — defence3218Havoc (allowed vs created) — offence429Havoc (allowed vs created) — defence9372

Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.

What actually happens around a number like this

tiecardsBALL by 35KENT by 45

Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). KENT wins about 63% of the time at a number like ours.

BALL

Games4
Plays per game61.5
Drives per game11.5
SP+-25.0 (135th, offence 133rd, defence 133rd)
Returning production6% (pass 0%, rush -104%, receiving 32%)

KENT

Games4
Plays per game61.5
Drives per game11.5
SP+-22.4 (130th, offence 132nd, defence 122nd)
Returning production64% (pass 103%, rush 76%, receiving 45%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceBALLKENT
pass rate, all downs53%29th42%113th
pass rate, standard downs49%17th34%117th
pass rate, 1st down45%50th27%133rd
no-huddle share50%83rd58%74th
pass rate, passing downs61%81st54%115th
pass rate, red zone52%14th33%90th
seconds per play (own drives)30.825th31.616th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

BALL offence

BALL offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.047246110 of 138
success rate0.337246133 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.41724614 of 138
rush: points added per play0.09024683 of 138
rush: success rate0.357246127 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.15624613 of 138
pass: points added per play0.072246109 of 138
pass: success rate0.339246128 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.59624657 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.392246133 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.247246115 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.542246132 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.214246118 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.8892467 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.62524687 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.199246132 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.138246134 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06124684 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.70024634 of 138

KENT offence

KENT offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.028246126 of 138
success rate0.313246137 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.36824622 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.079246129 of 138
rush: success rate0.331246135 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.97224667 of 138
pass: points added per play0.126246100 of 138
pass: success rate0.296246135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.9782465 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.372246136 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.224246129 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.778246113 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.223246123 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.615246118 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.895246125 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16324698 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08524663 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.077246121 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)74.60024612 of 138

BALL defence

BALL defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.325270136 of 138
success rate0.452270118 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.455270132 of 138
rush: points added per play0.256270133 of 138
rush: success rate0.42027083 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.352270136 of 138
pass: points added per play0.455270131 of 138
pass: success rate0.500270129 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.55627072 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.495270105 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.354270123 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.01027094 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.18827059 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.77827098 of 138
points per trip inside the 405.042270133 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11927011 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.07427025 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04427027 of 138
opponent average starting field position71.40027055 of 138

KENT defence

KENT defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.201249121 of 138
success rate0.474249133 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27224989 of 138
rush: points added per play0.133249109 of 138
rush: success rate0.43424998 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.89024961 of 138
pass: points added per play0.312249115 of 138
pass: success rate0.517249135 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.55524971 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.556249137 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.26124949 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.189249113 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.15624928 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.842249120 of 138
points per trip inside the 405.261249137 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14124939 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.10024972 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04024917 of 138
opponent average starting field position70.10024936 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs