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Final null 10 – 63 TOL
Saturday 2026-09-12 15:30 · Glass Bowl
Toledo · home
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

TOL

Games4
Plays per game66.0
Drives per game11.5
SP+0.3 (67th, offence 67th, defence 68th)
Returning production66% (pass 99%, rush 26%, receiving 58%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceTOL
pass rate, all downs—49%63rd
pass rate, standard downs—45%43rd
pass rate, 1st down—42%83rd
no-huddle share—86%29th
pass rate, passing downs—57%100th
pass rate, red zone—41%58th
seconds per play (own drives)—28.082nd

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

TOL offence

TOL offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.26926434 of 138
success rate0.44726462 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.5272641 of 138
rush: points added per play0.10626475 of 138
rush: success rate0.41526496 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.06726430 of 138
pass: points added per play0.44026424 of 138
pass: success rate0.48426440 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.9352647 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.49726463 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.32926459 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.07726474 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17026475 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.667264106 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.55226437 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13626462 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07226438 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06426497 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.300264106 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

TOL defence

TOL defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.02328939 of 138
success rate0.32528915 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.30228995 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.09528929 of 138
rush: success rate0.2832899 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.95828982 of 138
pass: points added per play0.17028979 of 138
pass: success rate0.39128969 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.58028982 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.38628919 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.21028916 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.62128946 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.20728985 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.3892893 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.87528941 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13528931 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.07328924 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.06228972 of 138
opponent average starting field position69.70028930 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs