· away
at
Final null 10 – 13 CMU
Saturday 2026-09-12 13:00 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Central Michigan · home
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

CMU

Games4
Plays per game57.0
Drives per game10.2
SP+-18.7 (129th, offence 136th, defence 100th)
Returning production54% (pass 9%, rush 123%, receiving 65%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceCMU
pass rate, all downs—35%133rd
pass rate, standard downs—25%133rd
pass rate, 1st down—32%121st
no-huddle share—2%137th
pass rate, passing downs—56%107th
pass rate, red zone—20%129th
seconds per play (own drives)—32.69th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

CMU offence

CMU offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.000228123 of 138
success rate0.351228129 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19622887 of 138
rush: points added per play0.13522868 of 138
rush: success rate0.401228102 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.10722822 of 138
pass: points added per play-0.180228137 of 138
pass: success rate0.263228138 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.423228107 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.395228131 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.254228112 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.18122863 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12922822 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.82622825 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.000228119 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16222894 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09622887 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06622899 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.40022851 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

CMU defence

CMU defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.166264114 of 138
success rate0.473264132 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.11826429 of 138
rush: points added per play0.118264104 of 138
rush: success rate0.496264133 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.86226443 of 138
pass: points added per play0.15326475 of 138
pass: success rate0.434264102 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.32926417 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.522264126 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.366264126 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.534264137 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.13526414 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.933264136 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.39326470 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14426442 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.06826414 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.076264107 of 138
opponent average starting field position68.30026419 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs