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Saturday 2026-11-21 16:00 · Fargodome
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
NDSU pass rush4.9% 8276th8.2% 18279thfaces NIU10.7% 122133rd7.8% ~2.6 sacks
NIU pass rush3.9% 10292nd9.6% 19848thfaces NDSU2.8% 7223rd3.4% ~1.1 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

NIU with the ball

NIU offence vs NDSU defenceNIU offenceNDSU defencerank gap
points added per play-0.121137th-0.1565th-132
success rate0.362127th0.39268th-59
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19090th1.0249th-81
rush: points added per play-0.112134th-0.2317th-127
rush: success rate0.381117th0.39867th-50
rush: explosiveness0.87793rd0.70514th-79
pass: points added per play0.007122nd-0.03023rd-99
pass: success rate0.366118th0.39067th-51
pass: explosiveness1.414108th1.43840th-68
standard downs: success rate0.442114th0.488100th-14
passing downs: success rate0.215131st0.1844th-127
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.560130th2.64651st-79
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.210113th0.18048th-65
short-yardage conversion rate0.76558th0.71468th+10
points per trip inside the 401.545137th1.7224th-133
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.177118th0.183101st-17
havoc allowed by the front seven0.132132nd0.10477th-55
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04551st0.079112th+61
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.30043rd——

NDSU with the ball

NDSU offence vs NIU defenceNDSU offenceNIU defencerank gap
points added per play0.15770th0.159109th+39
success rate0.400107th0.444111th+4
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.41415th1.323106th+91
rush: points added per play0.04099th0.11098th-1
rush: success rate0.349131st0.41176th-55
rush: explosiveness1.08125th1.076113th+88
pass: points added per play0.37738th0.26099th+61
pass: success rate0.48538th0.492128th+90
pass: explosiveness1.79420th1.48955th+35
standard downs: success rate0.456103rd0.47892nd-11
passing downs: success rate0.275101st0.372130th+29
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.826107th2.90277th-30
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19194th0.20279th-15
short-yardage conversion rate0.69297th0.57919th-78
points per trip inside the 404.08360th3.73196th+36
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11532nd0.12719th-13
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06928th0.08647th+19
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04654th0.04119th-35
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.40072nd——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.