Northern Illinois · away
at
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Saturday 2026-10-31 22:30 · Allegiant Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
UNLV pass rush8.3% 13223rd8.9% 25865thfaces NIU10.7% 122133rd9.5% ~3.1 sacks
NIU pass rush3.9% 10292nd9.6% 19848thfaces UNLV7.9% 127107th5.9% ~1.9 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

NIU with the ball

NIU offence vs UNLV defenceNIU offenceUNLV defencerank gap
points added per play-0.121137th0.07676th-61
success rate0.362127th0.40476th-51
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19090th1.15443rd-47
rush: points added per play-0.112134th0.124106th-28
rush: success rate0.381117th0.477127th+10
rush: explosiveness0.87793rd0.74723rd-70
pass: points added per play0.007122nd0.11866th-56
pass: success rate0.366118th0.35129th-89
pass: explosiveness1.414108th1.696110th+2
standard downs: success rate0.442114th0.46684th-30
passing downs: success rate0.215131st0.28679th-52
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.560130th3.606138th+8
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.210113th0.13313th-100
short-yardage conversion rate0.76558th0.833117th+59
points per trip inside the 401.545137th3.47877th-60
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.177118th0.16170th-48
havoc allowed by the front seven0.132132nd0.07120th-112
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04551st0.090128th+77
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.30043rd——

UNLV with the ball

UNLV offence vs NIU defenceUNLV offenceNIU defencerank gap
points added per play0.053107th0.159109th+2
success rate0.384118th0.444111th-7
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.21973rd1.323106th+33
rush: points added per play0.06189th0.11098th+9
rush: success rate0.397106th0.41176th-30
rush: explosiveness0.90883rd1.076113th+30
pass: points added per play0.13597th0.26099th+2
pass: success rate0.389102nd0.492128th+26
pass: explosiveness1.61053rd1.48955th+2
standard downs: success rate0.456104th0.47892nd-12
passing downs: success rate0.227127th0.372130th+3
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.21956th2.90277th+21
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13025th0.20279th+54
short-yardage conversion rate0.667108th0.57919th-89
points per trip inside the 402.955123rd3.73196th-27
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15791st0.12719th-72
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09689th0.08647th-42
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06083rd0.04119th-64
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.60040th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.