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Final null 0 – 38 NDSU
Saturday 2026-09-05 15:30 · Fargodome
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

NDSU

Games4
Plays per game65.0
Drives per game10.2
SP+7.8 (45th, offence 54th, defence 33rd)
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceNDSU
pass rate, all downs—40%121st
pass rate, standard downs—32%123rd
pass rate, 1st down—29%129th
no-huddle share—8%125th
pass rate, passing downs—58%96th
pass rate, red zone—36%78th
seconds per play (own drives)—30.240th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

NDSU offence

NDSU offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.15726070 of 138
success rate0.400260107 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.41426015 of 138
rush: points added per play0.04026099 of 138
rush: success rate0.349260131 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.08126025 of 138
pass: points added per play0.37726038 of 138
pass: success rate0.48526038 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.79426020 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.456260103 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.275260101 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.826260107 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19126094 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.69226097 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.08326060 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11526032 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06926028 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04626054 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.40026072 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

NDSU defence

NDSU defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.1562405 of 138
success rate0.39224068 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.0242409 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.2312407 of 138
rush: success rate0.39824067 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.70524014 of 138
pass: points added per play-0.03024023 of 138
pass: success rate0.39024067 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.43824040 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.488240100 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.1842404 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.64624051 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.18024048 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.71424068 of 138
points per trip inside the 401.7222404 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.183240101 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.10424077 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.079240112 of 138
opponent average starting field position73.30024097 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs