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Final null 0 – 34 AF
Saturday 2026-09-05 13:00 · Falcon Stadium
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

AF

Games3
Plays per game77.7
Drives per game10.7
SP+-3.4 (83rd, offence 74th, defence 94th)
Returning production57% (pass 102%, rush 70%, receiving 13%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceAF
pass rate, all downs—16%137th
pass rate, standard downs—12%138th
pass rate, 1st down—10%138th
no-huddle share—7%129th
pass rate, passing downs—30%137th
pass rate, red zone—16%134th
seconds per play (own drives)—30.243rd

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

AF offence

AF offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.29723322 of 138
success rate0.48923332 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.083233129 of 138
rush: points added per play0.3362338 of 138
rush: success rate0.51123320 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.96623370 of 138
pass: points added per play0.29023359 of 138
pass: success rate0.41723386 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.8772339 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.55423324 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.28623395 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8362336 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0682331 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.80823333 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.31623347 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0642333 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0212332 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04323343 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)73.30023326 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

AF defence

AF defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.00417353 of 138
success rate0.34717327 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.430173130 of 138
rush: points added per play0.125173107 of 138
rush: success rate0.39817365 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.118173122 of 138
pass: points added per play-0.06417315 of 138
pass: success rate0.31217314 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.867173131 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.41117337 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.23017329 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.86617371 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.21617395 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.66717344 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.000173111 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15017349 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.07517328 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.075173101 of 138
opponent average starting field position70.90017344 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs