Navy · neutral site
vs
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Saturday 2026-12-12 15:00 · MetLife Stadium
Army · neutral site
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
ARMY pass rush2.0% 51124th5.6% 107131stfaces NAVY15.0% 40136th8.5% ~2.8 sacks
NAVY pass rush11.7% 605th12.4% 12917thfaces ARMY——

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

NAVY with the ball

NAVY offence vs ARMY defenceNAVY offenceARMY defencerank gap
points added per play0.21157th0.189118th+61
success rate0.51217th0.438105th+88
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.141114th1.24581st-33
rush: points added per play0.3397th0.177122nd+115
rush: success rate0.5783rd0.471122nd+119
rush: explosiveness1.05038th0.97189th+51
pass: points added per play-0.235138th0.21791st-47
pass: success rate0.283137th0.41379th-58
pass: explosiveness1.79818th1.59888th+70
standard downs: success rate0.6153rd0.48799th+96
passing downs: success rate0.254113th0.327108th-5
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8258th3.274121st+113
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0997th0.18858th+51
short-yardage conversion rate0.9573rd0.75082nd+79
points per trip inside the 404.75022nd2.83336th+14
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.164100th0.13024th-76
havoc allowed by the front seven0.116121st0.06813th-108
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04858th0.06268th+10
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.70036th——

ARMY with the ball

ARMY offence vs NAVY defenceARMY offenceNAVY defencerank gap
points added per play0.36510th0.158107th+97
success rate0.5504th0.39167th+63
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.029135th1.407125th-10
rush: points added per play0.3953rd-0.02048th+45
rush: success rate0.5764th0.33329th+25
rush: explosiveness0.98861st0.89964th+3
pass: points added per play0.32052nd0.430128th+76
pass: success rate0.50029th0.481124th+95
pass: explosiveness1.201137th1.775119th-18
standard downs: success rate0.6104th0.41745th+41
passing downs: success rate0.28992nd0.344118th+26
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8277th2.71157th+50
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0974th0.20784th+80
short-yardage conversion rate0.8896th0.889132nd+126
points per trip inside the 404.40939th3.42973rd+34
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0451st0.14543rd+42
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0456th0.117103rd+97
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0001st0.0281st0
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.60089th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.