Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). USF wins about 80% of the time at a number like ours.
KENT
Games
4
Plays per game
61.5
Drives per game
11.5
SP+
-22.4 (130th, offence 132nd, defence 122nd)
Returning production
64% (pass 103%, rush 76%, receiving 45%)
USF
Games
4
Plays per game
58.2
Drives per game
10.5
SP+
3.9 (55th, offence 49th, defence 61st)
Returning production
13% (pass 6%, rush -1%, receiving 24%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
KENT
USF
pass rate, all downs
42%113th
43%103rd
pass rate, standard downs
34%117th
37%102nd
pass rate, 1st down
27%133rd
39%98th
no-huddle share
58%74th
9%124th
pass rate, passing downs
54%115th
57%101st
pass rate, red zone
33%90th
18%132nd
seconds per play (own drives)
31.616th
30.339th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
KENT offence
KENT offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.028
246
126 of 138
success rate
0.313
246
137 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.368
246
22 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.079
246
129 of 138
rush: success rate
0.331
246
135 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.972
246
67 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.126
246
100 of 138
pass: success rate
0.296
246
135 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.978
246
5 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.372
246
136 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.224
246
129 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.778
246
113 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.223
246
123 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.615
246
118 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.895
246
125 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.163
246
98 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.085
246
63 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.077
246
121 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
74.600
246
12 of 138
USF offence
USF offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.234
233
49 of 138
success rate
0.515
233
14 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.149
233
108 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.258
233
21 of 138
rush: success rate
0.523
233
13 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.088
233
24 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.256
233
69 of 138
pass: success rate
0.510
233
25 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.271
233
133 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.577
233
8 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.371
233
32 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.087
233
72 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.200
233
102 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.833
233
23 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.136
233
10 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.133
233
58 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.099
233
95 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.034
233
18 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
67.400
233
115 of 138
KENT defence
KENT defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.201
249
121 of 138
success rate
0.474
249
133 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.272
249
89 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.133
249
109 of 138
rush: success rate
0.434
249
98 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.890
249
61 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.312
249
115 of 138
pass: success rate
0.517
249
135 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.555
249
71 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.556
249
137 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.261
249
49 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.189
249
113 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.156
249
28 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.842
249
120 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.261
249
137 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.141
249
39 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.100
249
72 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.040
249
17 of 138
opponent average starting field position
70.100
249
36 of 138
USF defence
USF defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.020
262
40 of 138
success rate
0.408
262
82 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
0.955
262
3 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.198
262
11 of 138
rush: success rate
0.397
262
64 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.498
262
6 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.186
262
84 of 138
pass: success rate
0.433
262
101 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.445
262
46 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.494
262
104 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.233
262
32 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.434
262
26 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.272
262
132 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.600
262
26 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.125
262
55 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.183
262
102 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.141
262
125 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.042
262
23 of 138
opponent average starting field position
73.500
262
99 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs