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Final null 14 – 63 UNT
Saturday 2026-09-26 19:30 · DATCU Stadium
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GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

UNT

Games4
Plays per game72.8
Drives per game11.2
SP+-5.7 (91st, offence 47th, defence 120th)
Returning production3% (pass 2%, rush 3%, receiving 2%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceUNT
pass rate, all downs—51%43rd
pass rate, passing downs—60%87th
no-huddle share—62%68th
pass rate, standard downs—48%23rd
pass rate, 1st down—45%52nd
pass rate, red zone—46%29th
seconds per play (own drives)—29.656th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

UNT offence

UNT offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.31929117 of 138
success rate0.50529120 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.28029148 of 138
rush: points added per play0.18829141 of 138
rush: success rate0.44629173 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.05829133 of 138
pass: points added per play0.46729121 of 138
pass: success rate0.5722918 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.46129194 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.55829120 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.37629128 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.27129146 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16529164 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.75029169 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.41929138 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11329128 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.06929129 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04529152 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.10029177 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

UNT defence

UNT defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.11925492 of 138
success rate0.445254113 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.22625469 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.04325440 of 138
rush: success rate0.41225477 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.72425419 of 138
pass: points added per play0.453254130 of 138
pass: success rate0.505254131 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.846254129 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.48125493 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.352254122 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.48325429 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.19625474 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.70425461 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.875254107 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15025451 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.10625482 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04325425 of 138
opponent average starting field position65.7002543 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs