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Final null 17 – 59 USF
Saturday 2026-09-19 19:00 · Raymond James Stadium
South Florida · home
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

USF

Games4
Plays per game58.2
Drives per game10.5
SP+3.9 (55th, offence 49th, defence 61st)
Returning production13% (pass 6%, rush -1%, receiving 24%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceUSF
pass rate, all downs—43%103rd
pass rate, standard downs—37%102nd
pass rate, 1st down—39%98th
no-huddle share—9%124th
pass rate, passing downs—57%101st
pass rate, red zone—18%132nd
seconds per play (own drives)—30.339th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

USF offence

USF offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.23423349 of 138
success rate0.51523314 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.149233108 of 138
rush: points added per play0.25823321 of 138
rush: success rate0.52323313 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.08823324 of 138
pass: points added per play0.25623369 of 138
pass: success rate0.51023325 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.271233133 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.5772338 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.37123332 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.08723372 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.200233102 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.83323323 of 138
points per trip inside the 405.13623310 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13323358 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09923395 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03423318 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.400233115 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

USF defence

USF defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.02026240 of 138
success rate0.40826282 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)0.9552623 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.19826211 of 138
rush: success rate0.39726264 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.4982626 of 138
pass: points added per play0.18626284 of 138
pass: success rate0.433262101 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.44526246 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.494262104 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.23326232 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.43426226 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.272262132 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.60026226 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.12526255 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.183262102 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.141262125 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04226223 of 138
opponent average starting field position73.50026299 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs