Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). UL wins about 67% of the time at a number like ours.
UAB
Games
4
Plays per game
66.2
Drives per game
10.0
SP+
-14.3 (118th, offence 116th, defence 115th)
Returning production
80% (pass 100%, rush 63%, receiving 74%)
UL
Games
4
Plays per game
68.2
Drives per game
11.5
SP+
-3.0 (80th, offence 83rd, defence 82nd)
Returning production
92% (pass 101%, rush 82%, receiving 92%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
UAB
UL
pass rate, all downs
41%118th
39%123rd
pass rate, standard downs
33%121st
33%120th
pass rate, 1st down
31%123rd
33%119th
no-huddle share
76%52nd
59%73rd
pass rate, passing downs
60%86th
53%120th
pass rate, red zone
27%119th
22%126th
seconds per play (own drives)
30.047th
31.417th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
UAB offence
UAB offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.050
265
108 of 138
success rate
0.423
265
88 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.185
265
92 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.135
265
69 of 138
rush: success rate
0.437
265
82 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.994
265
58 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.009
265
127 of 138
pass: success rate
0.413
265
91 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.455
265
98 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.441
265
117 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.380
265
25 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.137
265
67 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.159
265
58 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.739
265
75 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.889
265
126 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.158
265
92 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.106
265
108 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.053
265
70 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.600
265
91 of 138
UL offence
UL offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.132
273
78 of 138
success rate
0.425
273
85 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.175
273
95 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.154
273
55 of 138
rush: success rate
0.421
273
92 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.123
273
19 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.256
273
68 of 138
pass: success rate
0.451
273
58 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.257
273
135 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.475
273
88 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.326
273
62 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.059
273
78 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.183
273
89 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.750
273
66 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.793
273
75 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.150
273
80 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.117
273
122 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.033
273
17 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
65.900
273
125 of 138
UAB defence
UAB defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.053
249
73 of 138
success rate
0.450
249
116 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.044
249
14 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.093
249
93 of 138
rush: success rate
0.473
249
125 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.942
249
78 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.011
249
29 of 138
pass: success rate
0.403
249
72 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.275
249
7 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.531
249
130 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.250
249
42 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.430
249
132 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.124
249
9 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.704
249
62 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.870
249
106 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.157
249
61 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.120
249
109 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.036
249
10 of 138
opponent average starting field position
69.100
249
27 of 138
UL defence
UL defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.166
242
3 of 138
success rate
0.397
242
73 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
0.984
242
5 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.305
242
2 of 138
rush: success rate
0.418
242
82 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.504
242
7 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.127
242
68 of 138
pass: success rate
0.408
242
76 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.429
242
35 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.449
242
71 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.280
242
69 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.651
242
53 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.245
242
118 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.462
242
6 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.455
242
126 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.182
242
96 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.116
242
102 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.066
242
86 of 138
opponent average starting field position
75.200
242
121 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs