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Final null 0 – 42 TLSA
Saturday 2026-09-19 20:00 · Chapman Stadium
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

TLSA

Games4
Plays per game64.2
Drives per game11.5
SP+-3.4 (83rd, offence 101st, defence 60th)
Returning production41% (pass 69%, rush 11%, receiving 42%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceTLSA
pass rate, all downs—48%72nd
pass rate, standard downs—46%37th
pass rate, 1st down—42%74th
no-huddle share—67%64th
pass rate, passing downs—51%126th
pass rate, red zone—44%38th
seconds per play (own drives)—26.8105th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

TLSA offence

TLSA offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.11725788 of 138
success rate0.405257101 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.142257113 of 138
rush: points added per play0.22725732 of 138
rush: success rate0.44725771 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.03525742 of 138
pass: points added per play0.011257121 of 138
pass: success rate0.361257122 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.344257122 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.53225739 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.151257138 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.29525742 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12125717 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.9292575 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.000257120 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14025769 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07025733 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.070257111 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.50025769 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

TLSA defence

TLSA defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.07030625 of 138
success rate0.38630663 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.03530611 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.11830624 of 138
rush: success rate0.41530681 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.6093069 of 138
pass: points added per play0.06630647 of 138
pass: success rate0.36730644 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.44330645 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.42830652 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.30530693 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.83830668 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.19230666 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.61930631 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.30430613 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14730645 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.08230642 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.06530685 of 138
opponent average starting field position73.900306106 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs