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at
Final TEM 48 – 49 TOL
Saturday 2026-09-19 15:00 · Glass Bowl
Toledo · home
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
TOL pass rush7.1% 9937th6.9% 218110thfaces TEM4.4% 6858th5.7% ~1.9 sacks
TEM pass rush1.2% 84134th4.0% 202138thfaces TOL2.1% 9612th1.6% ~0.5 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

TEM with the ball

TEM offence vs TOL defenceTEM offenceTOL defencerank gap
points added per play0.23746th-0.02339th-7
success rate0.43578th0.32515th-63
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.30141st1.30295th+54
rush: points added per play0.25623rd-0.09529th+6
rush: success rate0.46160th0.2839th-51
rush: explosiveness1.06032nd0.95882nd+50
pass: points added per play0.20579th0.17079th0
pass: success rate0.384108th0.39169th-39
pass: explosiveness1.83415th1.58082nd+67
standard downs: success rate0.47589th0.38619th-70
passing downs: success rate0.33356th0.21016th-40
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.32835th2.62146th+11
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16974th0.20785th+11
short-yardage conversion rate0.72783rd0.3893rd-80
points per trip inside the 403.381103rd2.87541st-62
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0897th0.13531st+24
havoc allowed by the front seven0.04911th0.07324th+13
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04136th0.06272nd+36
average starting field position (yards from own goal)74.10016th——

TOL with the ball

TOL offence vs TEM defenceTOL offenceTEM defencerank gap
points added per play0.26934th0.209123rd+89
success rate0.44762nd0.457121st+59
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.5271st1.20259th+58
rush: points added per play0.10675th0.155118th+43
rush: success rate0.41596th0.455111th+15
rush: explosiveness1.06730th0.88458th+28
pass: points added per play0.44024th0.306113th+89
pass: success rate0.48440th0.474121st+81
pass: explosiveness1.9357th1.57680th+73
standard downs: success rate0.49763rd0.497111th+48
passing downs: success rate0.32959th0.347120th+61
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.07774th2.88372nd-2
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17075th0.1104th-71
short-yardage conversion rate0.667106th0.76996th-10
points per trip inside the 404.55237th3.58683rd+46
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13662nd0.1095th-57
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07238th0.0522nd-36
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06497th0.05659th-38
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.300106th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.