Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). UAB wins about 63% of the time at a number like ours.
ULM
Games
4
Plays per game
67.8
Drives per game
12.2
SP+
-29.0 (138th, offence 131st, defence 138th)
Returning production
39% (pass 78%, rush 16%, receiving 26%)
UAB
Games
4
Plays per game
66.2
Drives per game
10.0
SP+
-14.3 (118th, offence 116th, defence 115th)
Returning production
80% (pass 100%, rush 63%, receiving 74%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
ULM
UAB
pass rate, all downs
50%56th
41%118th
pass rate, standard downs
40%85th
33%121st
no-huddle share
95%14th
76%52nd
pass rate, 1st down
38%102nd
31%123rd
pass rate, passing downs
75%16th
60%86th
pass rate, red zone
44%43rd
27%119th
seconds per play (own drives)
27.985th
30.047th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
ULM offence
ULM offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.052
271
130 of 138
success rate
0.402
271
103 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.119
271
119 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.070
271
88 of 138
rush: success rate
0.432
271
86 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.879
271
90 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.082
271
134 of 138
pass: success rate
0.386
271
106 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.406
271
111 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.455
271
105 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.275
271
102 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.968
271
91 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.152
271
52 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.571
271
125 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.478
271
131 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.170
271
110 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.100
271
97 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.070
271
112 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
72.900
271
33 of 138
UAB offence
UAB offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.050
265
108 of 138
success rate
0.423
265
88 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.185
265
92 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.135
265
69 of 138
rush: success rate
0.437
265
82 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.994
265
58 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.009
265
127 of 138
pass: success rate
0.413
265
91 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.455
265
98 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.441
265
117 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.380
265
25 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.137
265
67 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.159
265
58 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.739
265
75 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.889
265
126 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.158
265
92 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.106
265
108 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.053
265
70 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
69.600
265
91 of 138
ULM defence
ULM defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.308
295
135 of 138
success rate
0.508
295
137 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.215
295
66 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.314
295
136 of 138
rush: success rate
0.522
295
138 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.077
295
115 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.339
295
118 of 138
pass: success rate
0.500
295
130 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.413
295
34 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.536
295
133 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.427
295
136 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.418
295
130 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.161
295
32 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.778
295
102 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.448
295
125 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.115
295
8 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.064
295
8 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.051
295
42 of 138
opponent average starting field position
70.600
295
41 of 138
UAB defence
UAB defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.053
249
73 of 138
success rate
0.450
249
116 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.044
249
14 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.093
249
93 of 138
rush: success rate
0.473
249
125 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.942
249
78 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.011
249
29 of 138
pass: success rate
0.403
249
72 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.275
249
7 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.531
249
130 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.250
249
42 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.430
249
132 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.124
249
9 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.704
249
62 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.870
249
106 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.157
249
61 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.120
249
109 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.036
249
10 of 138
opponent average starting field position
69.100
249
27 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs