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Final null 16 – 45 UTSA
Saturday 2026-09-05 15:30 · Alamodome
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

UTSA

Games4
Plays per game63.2
Drives per game11.8
SP+-1.0 (73rd, offence 44th, defence 99th)
Returning production67% (pass 93%, rush 36%, receiving 61%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceUTSA
pass rate, all downs—51%48th
pass rate, standard downs—44%51st
pass rate, 1st down—48%33rd
no-huddle share—84%37th
pass rate, passing downs—67%53rd
pass rate, red zone—35%87th
seconds per play (own drives)—27.397th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

UTSA offence

UTSA offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.26825335 of 138
success rate0.47425345 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.111253124 of 138
rush: points added per play0.24825325 of 138
rush: success rate0.5412539 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.834253106 of 138
pass: points added per play0.29425357 of 138
pass: success rate0.41725387 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.45925397 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.56525314 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.263253109 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.07525375 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17225379 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.85025316 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.54225391 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13725366 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07125335 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.067253105 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.400253104 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

UTSA defence

UTSA defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.07732477 of 138
success rate0.432324101 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.13532436 of 138
rush: points added per play0.187324124 of 138
rush: success rate0.460324114 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.91732470 of 138
pass: points added per play0.08432457 of 138
pass: success rate0.42332494 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.38032426 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.47332488 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.340324114 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.280324123 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.12432410 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.65032443 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.71432493 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12832421 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.06732412 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.06132467 of 138
opponent average starting field position72.20032474 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs