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Final null 15 – 42 NAVY
Saturday 2026-09-05 15:30 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

NAVY

Games3
Plays per game69.0
Drives per game10.7
SP+-3.7 (85th, offence 78th, defence 95th)
Returning production14% (pass -3%, rush 19%, receiving 15%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceNAVY
pass rate, all downs—23%136th
pass rate, standard downs—15%135th
pass rate, 1st down—20%134th
no-huddle share—28%103rd
pass rate, passing downs—42%136th
pass rate, red zone—11%135th
seconds per play (own drives)—30.728th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

NAVY offence

NAVY offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.21120757 of 138
success rate0.51220717 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.141207114 of 138
rush: points added per play0.3392077 of 138
rush: success rate0.5782073 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.05020738 of 138
pass: points added per play-0.235207138 of 138
pass: success rate0.283207137 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.79820718 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.6152073 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.254207113 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8252078 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0992077 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.9572073 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.75020722 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.164207100 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.116207121 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04820758 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.70020736 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

NAVY defence

NAVY defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.158179107 of 138
success rate0.39117967 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.407179125 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.02017948 of 138
rush: success rate0.33317929 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.89917964 of 138
pass: points added per play0.430179128 of 138
pass: success rate0.481179124 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.775179119 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.41717945 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.344179118 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.71117957 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.20717984 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.889179132 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.42917973 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14517943 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.117179103 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.0281791 of 138
opponent average starting field position68.20017917 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs