Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). BOIS wins about 81% of the time at a number like ours.
BOIS
Games
4
Plays per game
72.5
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
7.6 (47th, offence 29th, defence 56th)
Returning production
66% (pass 94%, rush 100%, receiving 40%)
WSU
Games
4
Plays per game
61.0
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
-9.3 (105th, offence 120th, defence 79th)
Returning production
91% (pass 100%, rush 100%, receiving 85%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
BOIS
WSU
pass rate, all downs
41%120th
49%60th
pass rate, standard downs
31%125th
42%61st
pass rate, 1st down
31%124th
40%92nd
no-huddle share
3%136th
10%123rd
pass rate, passing downs
66%56th
63%69th
pass rate, red zone
40%62nd
41%56th
seconds per play (own drives)
33.25th
29.070th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
BOIS offence
BOIS offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.295
290
23 of 138
success rate
0.500
290
23 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.153
290
105 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.248
290
24 of 138
rush: success rate
0.518
290
15 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.941
290
77 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.335
290
48 of 138
pass: success rate
0.461
290
55 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.490
290
87 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.538
290
34 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.400
290
16 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.504
290
20 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.149
290
46 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.762
290
59 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.286
290
50 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.090
290
9 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.059
290
21 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.031
290
15 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
75.000
290
7 of 138
WSU offence
WSU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.037
244
128 of 138
success rate
0.365
244
125 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.265
244
54 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.008
244
112 of 138
rush: success rate
0.355
244
129 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.200
244
9 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.045
244
132 of 138
pass: success rate
0.383
244
110 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.333
244
123 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.431
244
125 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.238
244
121 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.759
244
116 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.234
244
127 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.600
244
121 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.235
244
111 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.205
244
135 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.127
244
129 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.078
244
123 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.800
244
21 of 138
BOIS defence
BOIS defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.019
219
60 of 138
success rate
0.356
219
38 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.663
219
138 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.017
219
63 of 138
rush: success rate
0.330
219
27 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.083
219
116 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.114
219
62 of 138
pass: success rate
0.381
219
57 of 138
pass: explosiveness
2.024
219
137 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.415
219
41 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.262
219
50 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.469
219
27 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.284
219
133 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.800
219
106 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.667
219
26 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.192
219
112 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.114
219
95 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.078
219
109 of 138
opponent average starting field position
69.500
219
28 of 138
WSU defence
WSU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.023
269
65 of 138
success rate
0.405
269
80 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.252
269
83 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.105
269
95 of 138
rush: success rate
0.433
269
97 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.974
269
90 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.086
269
59 of 138
pass: success rate
0.386
269
62 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.624
269
95 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.464
269
83 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.284
269
75 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.955
269
89 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.179
269
46 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.786
269
104 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.036
269
52 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.126
269
18 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.074
269
26 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.052
269
44 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.300
269
54 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs