Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). ORST wins about 63% of the time at a number like ours.
WSU
Games
4
Plays per game
61.0
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
-9.3 (105th, offence 120th, defence 79th)
Returning production
91% (pass 100%, rush 100%, receiving 85%)
ORST
Games
4
Plays per game
68.2
Drives per game
12.0
SP+
1.2 (65th, offence 67th, defence 56th)
Returning production
58% (pass 90%, rush 144%, receiving 41%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
WSU
ORST
pass rate, all downs
49%60th
65%2nd
pass rate, standard downs
42%61st
55%3rd
pass rate, 1st down
40%92nd
57%3rd
no-huddle share
10%123rd
46%86th
pass rate, passing downs
63%69th
87%1st
pass rate, red zone
41%56th
50%19th
seconds per play (own drives)
29.070th
27.396th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
WSU offence
WSU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.037
244
128 of 138
success rate
0.365
244
125 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.265
244
54 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.008
244
112 of 138
rush: success rate
0.355
244
129 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.200
244
9 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.045
244
132 of 138
pass: success rate
0.383
244
110 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.333
244
123 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.431
244
125 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.238
244
121 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.759
244
116 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.234
244
127 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.600
244
121 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.235
244
111 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.205
244
135 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.127
244
129 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.078
244
123 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.800
244
21 of 138
ORST offence
ORST offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.255
273
37 of 138
success rate
0.425
273
87 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.455
273
6 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.037
273
101 of 138
rush: success rate
0.387
273
115 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.795
273
115 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.369
273
39 of 138
pass: success rate
0.449
273
63 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.754
273
25 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.486
273
76 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.304
273
78 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.198
273
59 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.108
273
9 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.778
273
52 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.593
273
33 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.132
273
52 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.051
273
12 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.081
273
126 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
74.800
273
11 of 138
WSU defence
WSU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.023
269
65 of 138
success rate
0.405
269
80 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.252
269
83 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.105
269
95 of 138
rush: success rate
0.433
269
97 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.974
269
90 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.086
269
59 of 138
pass: success rate
0.386
269
62 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.624
269
95 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.464
269
83 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.284
269
75 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.955
269
89 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.179
269
46 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.786
269
104 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.036
269
52 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.126
269
18 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.074
269
26 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.052
269
44 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.300
269
54 of 138
ORST defence
ORST defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.092
288
82 of 138
success rate
0.413
288
86 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.093
288
26 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.026
288
69 of 138
rush: success rate
0.397
288
63 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.764
288
24 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.172
288
80 of 138
pass: success rate
0.439
288
104 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.396
288
29 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.469
288
86 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.302
288
90 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.042
288
101 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.135
288
15 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.762
288
92 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.308
288
64 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.167
288
77 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.097
288
66 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.069
288
94 of 138
opponent average starting field position
69.000
288
25 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs