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Final null 10 – 63 TXST
Saturday 2026-09-26 18:00 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Texas State · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

TXST

Games4
Plays per game72.8
Drives per game11.5
SP+-1.8 (76th, offence 26th, defence 122nd)
Returning production76% (pass 100%, rush 48%, receiving 79%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceTXST
pass rate, all downs—37%130th
pass rate, standard downs—29%132nd
no-huddle share—98%6th
pass rate, 1st down—33%120th
pass rate, passing downs—64%67th
pass rate, red zone—28%118th
seconds per play (own drives)—27.692nd

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

TXST offence

TXST offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.30529120 of 138
success rate0.49529128 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32429129 of 138
rush: points added per play0.15329157 of 138
rush: success rate0.46729153 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.97129168 of 138
pass: points added per play0.6602914 of 138
pass: success rate0.55929110 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.85229114 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.48429180 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.5302912 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.26829148 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13929137 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.667291105 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.214291112 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11329129 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07929150 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03429119 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.60029150 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

TXST defence

TXST defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.14832199 of 138
success rate0.461321123 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.22332168 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.01832151 of 138
rush: success rate0.39832168 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.84832140 of 138
pass: points added per play0.362321122 of 138
pass: success rate0.511321133 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.43332137 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.519321124 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.343321117 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.50232130 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.250321123 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.59132123 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.321321123 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15932166 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.08132139 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.078321111 of 138
opponent average starting field position70.90032146 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs