Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). CSU wins about 53% of the time at a number like ours.
WYO
Games
4
Plays per game
60.2
Drives per game
10.0
SP+
-12.7 (116th, offence 126th, defence 80th)
Returning production
23% (pass 3%, rush 81%, receiving 20%)
CSU
Games
4
Plays per game
70.8
Drives per game
12.2
SP+
-7.3 (97th, offence 70th, defence 116th)
Returning production
40% (pass 23%, rush -28%, receiving 58%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
WYO
CSU
pass rate, all downs
45%93rd
58%11th
pass rate, standard downs
44%52nd
51%10th
pass rate, 1st down
44%63rd
49%25th
no-huddle share
4%134th
80%46th
pass rate, red zone
42%49th
42%52nd
pass rate, passing downs
49%129th
73%25th
seconds per play (own drives)
31.318th
26.2119th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
WYO offence
WYO offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.156
241
71 of 138
success rate
0.461
241
52 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.088
241
128 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.148
241
61 of 138
rush: success rate
0.465
241
55 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.795
241
116 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.161
241
91 of 138
pass: success rate
0.440
241
70 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.330
241
124 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.503
241
58 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.365
241
38 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.556
241
15 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.140
241
39 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
1.000
241
2 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.958
241
122 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.154
241
86 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.091
241
79 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.062
241
91 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
70.100
241
78 of 138
CSU offence
CSU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.270
283
33 of 138
success rate
0.438
283
72 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.512
283
4 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.287
283
15 of 138
rush: success rate
0.429
283
87 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.344
283
2 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.309
283
54 of 138
pass: success rate
0.449
283
61 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.663
283
42 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.472
283
93 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.357
283
42 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.616
283
125 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.202
283
105 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.800
283
36 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.875
283
19 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.155
283
87 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.081
283
53 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.074
283
115 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
68.600
283
101 of 138
WYO defence
WYO defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.123
262
95 of 138
success rate
0.443
262
109 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.091
262
23 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.133
262
110 of 138
rush: success rate
0.462
262
115 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.850
262
41 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.198
262
85 of 138
pass: success rate
0.425
262
95 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.447
262
48 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.503
262
114 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.288
262
80 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.263
262
119 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.145
262
21 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.923
262
134 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.957
262
45 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.130
262
26 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.076
262
33 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.053
262
46 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.700
262
89 of 138
CSU defence
CSU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.163
253
112 of 138
success rate
0.462
253
124 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.198
253
56 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.229
253
130 of 138
rush: success rate
0.487
253
130 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.927
253
76 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.273
253
103 of 138
pass: success rate
0.467
253
117 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.664
253
103 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.522
253
127 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.310
253
96 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.395
253
129 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.158
253
29 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.889
253
131 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.037
253
114 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.182
253
95 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.107
253
85 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.075
253
102 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.500
253
57 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs