Notre Dame · neutral site
vs
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Saturday 2026-10-31 12:00 · Gillette Stadium
Navy · neutral site
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBetting

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
NAVY pass rush11.7% 605th12.4% 12917thfaces ND0.9% 1135th6.3% ~2.1 sacks
ND pass rush10.2% 10810th12.7% 21214thfaces NAVY15.0% 40136th12.6% ~4.2 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

ND with the ball

ND offence vs NAVY defenceND offenceNAVY defencerank gap
points added per play0.33313th0.158107th+94
success rate0.51613th0.39167th+54
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.116122nd1.407125th+3
rush: points added per play0.14265th-0.02048th-17
rush: success rate0.48238th0.33329th-9
rush: explosiveness0.795114th0.89964th-50
pass: points added per play0.56311th0.430128th+117
pass: success rate0.55811th0.481124th+113
pass: explosiveness1.45996th1.775119th+23
standard downs: success rate0.5996th0.41745th+39
passing downs: success rate0.214132nd0.344118th-14
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.94393rd2.71157th-36
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.15353rd0.20784th+31
short-yardage conversion rate0.76262nd0.889132nd+70
points per trip inside the 405.2866th3.42973rd+67
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.10116th0.14543rd+27
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0353rd0.117103rd+100
havoc allowed by the secondary0.066101st0.0281st-100
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.30044th——

NAVY with the ball

NAVY offence vs ND defenceNAVY offenceND defencerank gap
points added per play0.21157th-0.11915th-42
success rate0.51217th0.34224th+7
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.141114th1.13837th-77
rush: points added per play0.3397th-0.2298th+1
rush: success rate0.5783rd0.30412th+9
rush: explosiveness1.05038th0.81230th-8
pass: points added per play-0.235138th-0.02126th-112
pass: success rate0.283137th0.37448th-89
pass: explosiveness1.79818th1.37825th+7
standard downs: success rate0.6153rd0.39022nd+19
passing downs: success rate0.254113th0.25344th-69
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8258th2.32116th+8
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0997th0.223103rd+96
short-yardage conversion rate0.9573rd0.73377th+74
points per trip inside the 404.75022nd1.6252nd-20
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.164100th0.240135th+35
havoc allowed by the front seven0.116121st0.169134th+13
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04858th0.07199th+41
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.70036th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.