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Saturday 2026-10-31 · time TBA · SECU Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
MD pass rush5.7% 8856th8.1% 18581stfaces ILL3.2% 9431st4.4% ~1.5 sacks
ILL pass rush1.1% 88135th6.5% 200116thfaces MD3.2% 12630th2.2% ~0.7 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

ILL with the ball

ILL offence vs MD defenceILL offenceMD defencerank gap
points added per play0.28428th0.02967th+39
success rate0.51611th0.38060th+49
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27351st1.22167th+16
rush: points added per play0.26120th-0.05139th+19
rush: success rate0.51816th0.36746th+30
rush: explosiveness1.02245th0.87856th+11
pass: points added per play0.32351st0.16978th+27
pass: success rate0.52418th0.41888th+70
pass: explosiveness1.47590th1.57279th-11
standard downs: success rate0.56415th0.41643rd+28
passing downs: success rate0.38524th0.319106th+82
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.45126th2.33418th-8
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.11411th0.227108th+97
short-yardage conversion rate0.667103rd0.70663rd-40
points per trip inside the 404.03763rd4.150117th+54
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11431st0.15965th+34
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0457th0.11497th+90
havoc allowed by the secondary0.069109th0.04531st-78
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.60048th——

MD with the ball

MD offence vs ILL defenceMD offenceILL defencerank gap
points added per play0.13279th0.193120th+41
success rate0.45257th0.445112th+55
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.23963rd1.26988th+25
rush: points added per play0.13867th0.123105th+38
rush: success rate0.43584th0.41480th-4
rush: explosiveness1.04240th1.039103rd+63
pass: points added per play0.12999th0.279107th+8
pass: success rate0.46156th0.489127th+71
pass: explosiveness1.400115th1.47852nd-63
standard downs: success rate0.50753rd0.490102nd+49
passing downs: success rate0.30973rd0.329111th+38
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.88299th2.76660th-39
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.234126th0.20783rd-43
short-yardage conversion rate0.71489th0.783103rd+14
points per trip inside the 403.43398th3.864105th+7
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.14371st0.13128th-43
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08564th0.06915th-49
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05878th0.06270th-8
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.20075th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.