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WIS -10
Saturday 2026-10-03 12:30 · Camp Randall Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
WIS pass rush3.3% 90101st6.6% 181114thfaces MSU10.2% 118130th6.8% ~2.2 sacks
MSU pass rush6.8% 10341st9.8% 22446thfaces WIS2.9% 10227th4.9% ~1.6 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

MSU with the ball

MSU offence vs WIS defenceMSU offenceWIS defencerank gap
points added per play0.033115th-0.05130th-85
success rate0.44465th0.34022nd-43
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.082130th1.04213th-117
rush: points added per play-0.008117th0.07888th-29
rush: success rate0.41595th0.33830th-65
rush: explosiveness0.848104th0.87251st-53
pass: points added per play0.15593rd-0.03024th-69
pass: success rate0.48341st0.37246th+5
pass: explosiveness1.347121st1.1873rd-118
standard downs: success rate0.50555th0.42853rd-2
passing downs: success rate0.27898th0.1632nd-96
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.92397th2.92885th-12
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.204108th0.1051st-107
short-yardage conversion rate0.71490th0.72272nd-18
points per trip inside the 403.346105th3.47475th-30
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.192128th0.16273rd-55
havoc allowed by the front seven0.128130th0.07734th-96
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06494th0.085123rd+29
average starting field position (yards from own goal)68.300105th——

WIS with the ball

WIS offence vs MSU defenceWIS offenceMSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.14275th0.151103rd+28
success rate0.42389th0.42796th+7
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.39119th1.23472nd+53
rush: points added per play0.18344th0.06081st+37
rush: success rate0.368122nd0.455110th-12
rush: explosiveness1.2416th0.85442nd+36
pass: points added per play0.17688th0.21290th+2
pass: success rate0.48836th0.37953rd+17
pass: explosiveness1.50781st1.723114th+33
standard downs: success rate0.48282nd0.48497th+15
passing downs: success rate0.30085th0.30189th+4
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.94892nd2.75958th-34
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.15455th0.260128th+73
short-yardage conversion rate0.562127th0.63235th-92
points per trip inside the 403.333106th3.60086th-20
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16399th0.15152nd-47
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08155th0.09562nd+7
havoc allowed by the secondary0.081127th0.05658th-69
average starting field position (yards from own goal)69.10098th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.