Penn State · away
at
PSU -2.5
Friday 2026-10-02 20:00 · Ryan Field
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
NU pass rush4.9% 6174th7.0% 129109thfaces PSU4.4% 11359th4.7% ~1.5 sacks
PSU pass rush4.3% 11684th8.3% 22878thfaces NU8.9% 56121st6.6% ~2.2 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

PSU with the ball

PSU offence vs NU defencePSU offenceNU defencerank gap
points added per play0.22055th0.08380th+25
success rate0.41894th0.441106th+12
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.29942nd1.12032nd-10
rush: points added per play0.10278th0.112100th+22
rush: success rate0.40999th0.472124th+25
rush: explosiveness0.92981st0.86846th-35
pass: points added per play0.39132nd0.03538th+6
pass: success rate0.43472nd0.40574th+2
pass: explosiveness1.81317th1.40633rd+16
standard downs: success rate0.47392nd0.515123rd+31
passing downs: success rate0.270106th0.22827th-79
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.835105th3.429131st+26
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13634th0.14217th-17
short-yardage conversion rate0.72782nd0.59122nd-60
points per trip inside the 403.96766th2.42117th-49
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11633rd0.16272nd+39
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05819th0.0637th-12
havoc allowed by the secondary0.05879th0.099131st+52
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.800126th——

NU with the ball

NU offence vs PSU defenceNU offencePSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.30421st-0.10319th-2
success rate0.46349th0.31510th-39
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.29445th1.17147th+2
rush: points added per play0.15654th0.04074th+20
rush: success rate0.41098th0.33931st-67
rush: explosiveness0.97865th1.129125th+60
pass: points added per play0.54013th-0.1643rd-10
pass: success rate0.53713th0.2966th-7
pass: explosiveness1.64946th1.2074th-42
standard downs: success rate0.48578th0.36511th-67
passing downs: success rate0.41114th0.22423rd+9
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.835104th2.52933rd-71
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19093rd0.229109th+16
short-yardage conversion rate0.81829th0.66750th+21
points per trip inside the 405.11112th3.63688th+76
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13356th0.195114th+58
havoc allowed by the front seven0.112117th0.11294th-23
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0214th0.083120th+116
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.40041st——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.