Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). OSU wins about 100% of the time at a number like ours.
KENT
Games
4
Plays per game
61.5
Drives per game
11.5
SP+
-22.4 (130th, offence 132nd, defence 122nd)
Returning production
64% (pass 103%, rush 76%, receiving 45%)
OSU
Games
4
Plays per game
67.8
Drives per game
11.5
SP+
28.8 (2nd, offence 1st, defence 2nd)
Returning production
68% (pass 94%, rush 55%, receiving 50%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
KENT
OSU
pass rate, all downs
42%113th
51%44th
pass rate, standard downs
34%117th
43%59th
pass rate, 1st down
27%133rd
44%64th
no-huddle share
58%74th
10%121st
pass rate, passing downs
54%115th
79%7th
pass rate, red zone
33%90th
39%64th
seconds per play (own drives)
31.616th
30.242nd
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
KENT offence
KENT offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.028
246
126 of 138
success rate
0.313
246
137 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.368
246
22 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.079
246
129 of 138
rush: success rate
0.331
246
135 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.972
246
67 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.126
246
100 of 138
pass: success rate
0.296
246
135 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.978
246
5 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.372
246
136 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.224
246
129 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.778
246
113 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.223
246
123 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.615
246
118 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.895
246
125 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.163
246
98 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.085
246
63 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.077
246
121 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
74.600
246
12 of 138
OSU offence
OSU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.394
271
8 of 138
success rate
0.524
271
7 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.342
271
24 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.175
271
48 of 138
rush: success rate
0.450
271
68 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.024
271
44 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.663
271
3 of 138
pass: success rate
0.607
271
2 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.579
271
64 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.572
271
10 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.365
271
37 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.201
271
58 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.168
271
70 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.783
271
48 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.111
271
13 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.111
271
24 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.063
271
23 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.048
271
59 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
68.200
271
107 of 138
KENT defence
KENT defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.201
249
121 of 138
success rate
0.474
249
133 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.272
249
89 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.133
249
109 of 138
rush: success rate
0.434
249
98 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.890
249
61 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.312
249
115 of 138
pass: success rate
0.517
249
135 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.555
249
71 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.556
249
137 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.261
249
49 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.189
249
113 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.156
249
28 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.842
249
120 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.261
249
137 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.141
249
39 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.100
249
72 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.040
249
17 of 138
opponent average starting field position
70.100
249
36 of 138
OSU defence
OSU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.081
269
23 of 138
success rate
0.353
269
33 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.211
269
64 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.042
269
42 of 138
rush: success rate
0.435
269
100 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.945
269
80 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.137
269
7 of 138
pass: success rate
0.275
269
2 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.588
269
83 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.398
269
28 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.282
269
71 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.791
269
62 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.194
269
69 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.667
269
49 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.778
269
33 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.208
269
125 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.104
269
78 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.104
269
135 of 138
opponent average starting field position
75.700
269
128 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs