Betting
Spread
KENT favouredMarket OSU −52.5Ours OSU −47.8
OSU favouredgap 4.7 toward KENT
Grey dot: the market · gold: our card line · small dot: FEI (bcftoys.com). A gap is a reason to look, not to bet.
Vegas
| Team | Spread | Points | Moneyline | Win% | Kalshi |
|---|
| KENT away | +52.5 | 3.0 | — | — | — |
| OSU home | -52.5 | 55.5 | — | — | — |
| Total | 58.5 | |
The closing line: this game was played before live prices were being collected.
Our model — cards
| Team | Spread | Points | Win% | vs book |
|---|
| KENT away | +48.0 | 5.4 | -0.0% | -4.5 |
| OSU home | -48.0 | 53.1 | 100.0% | +4.5 |
| Total | no total model | | | |
FEI — bcftoys.com
| Team | Spread | Points | Win% | vs book |
|---|
| KENT away | +55.0 | 0.2 | 1.0% | +2.5 |
| OSU home | -55.0 | 55.3 | 99.0% | -2.5 |
| Total | 55.5 | | | -3.0 |
"Points" is the implied score for each side: a spread and a total are the margin and the sum, so solving them back out says what each team is expected to score. A favourite is shown negative, the way a book quotes it. "vs book" is that model's line for the team minus the book's, so a plus means the model makes them the weaker side. Our cards are EA College Football 27 launch ratings rolled up; the gap between two teams is multiplied by a scale fitted on this season's results (real margins have run about 1.8 times the raw gap), plus 2.5 points of home field; the win chance comes from how far 7,877 FBS results landed from a line. FEI is Brian Fremeau's projection, shown as a reference only: measured on his own results pages it went 49.9% against the spread over 3,101 games (2022–25), and the pickers never see it. Neither model has shown it beats a closing line.
Team ratings
| Points vs an average FBS team | KENT | OSU |
|---|
| Offence (cards) | -3.9102nd | +12.81st |
| Defence (cards) | -3.3135th | +4.33rd |
| Card team rating | -7.2120th | +17.01st |
| SP+ (CFBD's rating, theirs) | -22.4130th | +28.82nd |
| FEI (bcftoys.com, theirs) | -1.1133rd | +1.43rd |
| F+ (FEI + SP+, theirs) | -1.6131st | +2.23rd |
| Card line | OSU -47.8 (the gap ×1.87, fitted on 215 games, plus 2.5 home field) |
| Returning production | 64% | 68% |
Cards are EA College Football 27's Week 3 Ratings (EA re-rates weekly; we take the newest) with CFBD's measured stats shown beside them; the team rating rolls EA's starters up with the NFL position weights, unmeasured for college. SP+ is opponent-adjusted; ours is not yet.
Quarterbacks
Dru DeShields KENT75 overall · Junior
Points added per play0.263
Completion58.8%
TD–INT3-3
Pass attempts, median game23
Pass yards, median game126
Rush yards, median game51
Games this season4
Team throws per game24.2
Julian Sayin OSU94 overall · Junior
Points added per play0.628
Completion72.2%
TD–INT10-1
Pass attempts, median game29
Pass yards, median game299
Rush yards, median game-7
Games this season4
Team throws per game33.2
The starter comes from the maintained depth chart (cfbdepth.com). The rating is EA College Football 27's Week 3 Ratings (EA re-rates weekly; we take the newest); everything under it is what CFBD has measured this season, as a median game rather than a total so a man who missed time is not shrunk.
Against the number
| Team | ATS | Cover% | vs spread | O/U | vs total |
|---|
| KENT away | 2-2 | 50% | -0.9 | 3-1 | +0.3 |
| OSU home | 3-1 | 75% | +1.3 | 3-1 | +2.8 |
Against DraftKings' closing number, this season. A record of what happened and nothing more — cover rates do not predict, which is why the pickers never see them.
Streak trends
No 4+ streak in any split for either side.
Cover, win/loss and over/under streaks in every split (home, away, favourite, underdog, division, primetime, big favourite), counted against the closing line. Measured over every FBS season on file: cover and over/under streaks revert (fade 6+); college win/loss streaks tell you nothing against the spread (50%), so they are shown here but the picker ignores them. These never reach the pickers' bundle; the "streak" row on the picks board bets on its own.
Venue, weather, rest and travel
Built when the game's bundle is (Ohio Stadium).
Who is out (reported)
No news read for this game yet.
Covers.com injury tags
| Team | Player | Status | Since | Note |
|---|
| KENT | M. Stephens WR | questionable Undisclosed | Sat, Sep 26 | Stephens is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 3rd. |
| KENT | D. Armentrout RB | questionable Undisclosed | Sat, Sep 26 | Armentrout is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 3rd. |
| KENT | E. Tucker K | questionable Undisclosed | Sat, Sep 26 | Tucker is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 3rd. |
| KENT | W. Bierfeldt WR | questionable Undisclosed | Sat, Sep 26 | Bierfeldt is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 3rd. |
| OSU | B. Jackson RB | questionable Shoulder | Mon, Sep 28 | Jackson is dealing with an Shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against Iowa on Saturday, October 3rd. |
| OSU | K. Parker WR | questionable Undisclosed | Sat, Sep 26 | Parker is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa on Saturday, October 3rd. |
| OSU | L. Bey RB | questionable Undisclosed | Sat, Sep 26 | Bey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be determined if he will face Iowa on Saturday, October 3rd. |
| OSU | Z. Grady DL | questionable Undisclosed | Sat, Sep 26 | Grady is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against Iowa on Saturday, October 3rd. |
| OSU | A. Valerio-Hudson WR | questionable Undisclosed | Sat, Sep 26 | Valerio-Hudson has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against Iowa on Saturday, October 3rd. |