· away
at
Final null 10 – 48 ILL
Saturday 2026-09-19 14:00 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Illinois · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

ILL

Games4
Plays per game61.5
Drives per game9.5
SP+8.5 (41st, offence 24th, defence 69th)
Returning production21% (pass 3%, rush 34%, receiving 31%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceILL
pass rate, all downs—52%37th
pass rate, standard downs—44%46th
pass rate, 1st down—44%58th
no-huddle share—19%112th
pass rate, red zone—61%4th
pass rate, passing downs—75%18th
seconds per play (own drives)—30.531st

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

ILL offence

ILL offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.28424628 of 138
success rate0.51624611 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27324651 of 138
rush: points added per play0.26124620 of 138
rush: success rate0.51824616 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.02224645 of 138
pass: points added per play0.32324651 of 138
pass: success rate0.52424618 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.47524690 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.56424615 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.38524624 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.45124626 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.11424611 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.667246103 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.03724663 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11424631 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0452467 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.069246109 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.60024648 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

ILL defence

ILL defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.193274120 of 138
success rate0.445274112 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.26927488 of 138
rush: points added per play0.123274105 of 138
rush: success rate0.41427480 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.039274103 of 138
pass: points added per play0.279274107 of 138
pass: success rate0.489274127 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.47827452 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.490274102 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.329274111 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.76627460 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.20727483 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.783274103 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.864274105 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13127428 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.06927415 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.06227470 of 138
opponent average starting field position71.60027459 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs