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Final null 18 – 34 NU
Saturday 2026-09-05 20:00 · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
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GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

NU

Games3
Plays per game62.7
Drives per game11.0
SP+7.3 (50th, offence 59th, defence 34th)
Returning production89% (pass 94%, rush 88%, receiving 86%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceNU
pass rate, all downs—45%92nd
pass rate, passing downs—47%132nd
no-huddle share—11%120th
pass rate, standard downs—44%45th
pass rate, 1st down—49%23rd
pass rate, red zone—48%24th
seconds per play (own drives)—30.826th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

NU offence

NU offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.30418821 of 138
success rate0.46318849 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.29418845 of 138
rush: points added per play0.15618854 of 138
rush: success rate0.41018898 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.97818865 of 138
pass: points added per play0.54018813 of 138
pass: success rate0.53718813 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.64918846 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.48518878 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.41118814 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.835188104 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.19018893 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.81818829 of 138
points per trip inside the 405.11118812 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13318856 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.112188117 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0211884 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.40018841 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

NU defence

NU defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.08322280 of 138
success rate0.441222106 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.12022232 of 138
rush: points added per play0.112222100 of 138
rush: success rate0.472222124 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.86822246 of 138
pass: points added per play0.03522238 of 138
pass: success rate0.40522274 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.40622233 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.515222123 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.22822227 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.429222131 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.14222217 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.59122222 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.42122217 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.16222272 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.0632227 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.099222131 of 138
opponent average starting field position72.00022267 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs