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Saturday 2026-11-28 · time TBA · Kenan Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
UNC pass rush7.5% 6729th9.0% 13362ndfaces NCSU4.0% 10146th5.7% ~1.9 sacks
NCSU pass rush2.3% 86120th4.9% 185135thfaces UNC9.5% 63123rd5.9% ~2.0 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

NCSU with the ball

NCSU offence vs UNC defenceNCSU offenceUNC defencerank gap
points added per play0.22154th-0.01941st-13
success rate0.48833rd0.39369th+36
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20977th1.0248th-69
rush: points added per play0.21536th0.05880th+44
rush: success rate0.49330th0.42990th+60
rush: explosiveness1.03741st0.82732nd-9
pass: points added per play0.25767th0.02737th-30
pass: success rate0.48439th0.37649th+10
pass: explosiveness1.406110th1.2426th-104
standard downs: success rate0.54830th0.47187th+57
passing downs: success rate0.34151st0.22725th-26
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.29541st2.94088th+47
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14947th0.1227th-40
short-yardage conversion rate0.84021st0.875129th+108
points per trip inside the 404.67925th2.68829th+4
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15788th0.14140th-48
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09382nd0.09765th-17
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06495th0.04428th-67
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.90064th——

UNC with the ball

UNC offence vs NCSU defenceUNC offenceNCSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.11886th0.12093rd+7
success rate0.48435th0.39974th+39
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.038134th1.25082nd-52
rush: points added per play0.12471st0.06784th+13
rush: success rate0.53410th0.446106th+96
rush: explosiveness0.706130th0.96786th-44
pass: points added per play0.14894th0.270101st+7
pass: success rate0.42284th0.36642nd-42
pass: explosiveness1.45299th1.64399th0
standard downs: success rate0.53238th0.45677th+39
passing downs: success rate0.37530th0.26454th+24
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8725th2.82166th+61
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12520th0.19061st+41
short-yardage conversion rate0.77851st0.76290th+39
points per trip inside the 404.00065th3.59184th+19
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13251st0.15254th+3
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08256th0.07017th-39
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04962nd0.082118th+56
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.00080th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.