Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). WAKE wins about 58% of the time at a number like ours.
WAKE
Games
4
Plays per game
65.8
Drives per game
10.8
SP+
3.7 (57th, offence 50th, defence 63rd)
Returning production
14% (pass 23%, rush 5%, receiving 13%)
GT
Games
4
Plays per game
65.0
Drives per game
10.5
SP+
-0.1 (69th, offence 66th, defence 76th)
Returning production
13% (pass 0%, rush 35%, receiving 11%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
WAKE
GT
pass rate, all downs
53%35th
53%34th
pass rate, standard downs
43%55th
44%47th
pass rate, 1st down
46%47th
42%78th
no-huddle share
66%66th
33%98th
pass rate, passing downs
74%21st
71%33rd
pass rate, red zone
34%89th
48%26th
seconds per play (own drives)
27.888th
28.875th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
WAKE offence
WAKE offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.280
263
31 of 138
success rate
0.452
263
58 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.305
263
36 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.139
263
66 of 138
rush: success rate
0.463
263
58 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.851
263
103 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.400
263
29 of 138
pass: success rate
0.433
263
74 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.752
263
26 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.483
263
81 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.386
263
23 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.138
263
66 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.146
263
43 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.550
263
129 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.731
263
79 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.125
263
41 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.087
263
70 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.038
263
29 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
72.000
263
46 of 138
GT offence
GT offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.141
260
76 of 138
success rate
0.442
260
68 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.221
260
71 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.112
260
73 of 138
rush: success rate
0.452
260
67 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.885
260
87 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.191
260
84 of 138
pass: success rate
0.443
260
68 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.513
260
78 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.500
260
60 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.312
260
71 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.074
260
76 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.202
260
106 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.706
260
93 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.393
260
101 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.162
260
95 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.104
260
105 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.058
260
77 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
70.600
260
66 of 138
WAKE defence
WAKE defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.160
297
110 of 138
success rate
0.468
297
127 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.054
297
17 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.049
297
77 of 138
rush: success rate
0.412
297
78 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.871
297
49 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.252
297
98 of 138
pass: success rate
0.519
297
136 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.098
297
2 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.511
297
122 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.346
297
119 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.865
297
70 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.213
297
93 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.700
297
60 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.385
297
68 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.128
297
22 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.094
297
60 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.034
297
8 of 138
opponent average starting field position
74.500
297
112 of 138
GT defence
GT defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.155
281
105 of 138
success rate
0.413
281
85 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.267
281
87 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.082
281
91 of 138
rush: success rate
0.447
281
107 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.865
281
45 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.343
281
121 of 138
pass: success rate
0.366
281
41 of 138
pass: explosiveness
2.089
281
138 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.447
281
68 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.341
281
115 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.906
281
80 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.171
281
38 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.684
281
54 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.654
281
91 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.160
281
68 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.121
281
110 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.039
281
15 of 138
opponent average starting field position
70.400
281
40 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs