North Carolina · away
at
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Saturday 2026-11-07 12:00 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
CONN pass rush2.4% 126119th8.4% 21577thfaces UNC9.5% 63123rd6.0% ~2.0 sacks
UNC pass rush7.5% 6729th9.0% 13362ndfaces CONN8.3% 84113th7.9% ~2.6 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

UNC with the ball

UNC offence vs CONN defenceUNC offenceCONN defencerank gap
points added per play0.11886th0.01961st-25
success rate0.48435th0.38664th+29
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.038134th1.25585th-49
rush: points added per play0.12471st-0.01454th-17
rush: success rate0.53410th0.38154th+44
rush: explosiveness0.706130th0.87453rd-77
pass: points added per play0.14894th0.06648th-46
pass: success rate0.42284th0.39371st-13
pass: explosiveness1.45299th1.50260th-39
standard downs: success rate0.53238th0.44061st+23
passing downs: success rate0.37530th0.28374th+44
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.8725th2.64852nd+47
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.12520th0.21291st+71
short-yardage conversion rate0.77851st0.61129th-22
points per trip inside the 404.00065th2.72030th-35
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13251st0.16979th+28
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08256th0.08345th-11
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04962nd0.086124th+62
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.00080th——

CONN with the ball

CONN offence vs UNC defenceCONN offenceUNC defencerank gap
points added per play0.23150th-0.01941st-9
success rate0.43579th0.39369th-10
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.42113th1.0248th-5
rush: points added per play0.20738th0.05880th+42
rush: success rate0.46063rd0.42990th+27
rush: explosiveness1.02148th0.82732nd-16
pass: points added per play0.36841st0.02737th-4
pass: success rate0.42680th0.37649th-31
pass: explosiveness1.9636th1.2426th0
standard downs: success rate0.48083rd0.47187th+4
passing downs: success rate0.34152nd0.22725th-27
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.23951st2.94088th+37
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16871st0.1227th-64
short-yardage conversion rate0.667107th0.875129th+22
points per trip inside the 404.62530th2.68829th-1
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.12745th0.14140th-5
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08873rd0.09765th-8
havoc allowed by the secondary0.03828th0.04428th0
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.90065th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.