California · away
at
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Saturday 2026-10-31 · time TBA · Carter-Finley Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
NCSU pass rush2.3% 86120th4.9% 185135thfaces CAL3.5% 11438th2.9% ~1.0 sacks
CAL pass rush6.1% 9947th6.5% 201117thfaces NCSU4.0% 10146th5.0% ~1.7 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

CAL with the ball

CAL offence vs NCSU defenceCAL offenceNCSU defencerank gap
points added per play0.007120th0.12093rd-27
success rate0.403102nd0.39974th-28
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19388th1.25082nd-6
rush: points added per play-0.056123rd0.06784th-39
rush: success rate0.376119th0.446106th-13
rush: explosiveness0.763124th0.96786th-38
pass: points added per play0.13198th0.270101st+3
pass: success rate0.42977th0.36642nd-35
pass: explosiveness1.47492nd1.64399th+7
standard downs: success rate0.459101st0.45677th-24
passing downs: success rate0.29091st0.26454th-37
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.819108th2.82166th-42
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.205109th0.19061st-48
short-yardage conversion rate0.667102nd0.76290th-12
points per trip inside the 402.720127th3.59184th-43
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.169107th0.15254th-53
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09483rd0.07017th-66
havoc allowed by the secondary0.076120th0.082118th-2
average starting field position (yards from own goal)73.70022nd——

NCSU with the ball

NCSU offence vs CAL defenceNCSU offenceCAL defencerank gap
points added per play0.22154th0.01456th+2
success rate0.48833rd0.36949th+16
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20977th1.341109th+32
rush: points added per play0.21536th0.217129th+93
rush: success rate0.49330th0.42084th+54
rush: explosiveness1.03741st1.122123rd+82
pass: points added per play0.25767th-0.09213th-54
pass: success rate0.48439th0.32015th-24
pass: explosiveness1.406110th1.644100th-10
standard downs: success rate0.54830th0.43156th+26
passing downs: success rate0.34151st0.25545th-6
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.29541st3.160110th+69
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14947th0.14518th-29
short-yardage conversion rate0.84021st0.889130th+109
points per trip inside the 404.67925th2.61525th0
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15788th0.13127th-61
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09382nd0.0635th-77
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06495th0.06789th-6
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.90064th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.