California · away
at
UNLV -2.5
Saturday 2026-10-03 15:30 · Allegiant Stadium
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The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
UNLV pass rush8.3% 13223rd8.9% 25865thfaces CAL3.5% 11438th5.9% ~2.0 sacks
CAL pass rush6.1% 9947th6.5% 201117thfaces UNLV7.9% 127107th7.0% ~2.3 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

CAL with the ball

CAL offence vs UNLV defenceCAL offenceUNLV defencerank gap
points added per play0.007120th0.07676th-44
success rate0.403102nd0.40476th-26
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.19388th1.15443rd-45
rush: points added per play-0.056123rd0.124106th-17
rush: success rate0.376119th0.477127th+8
rush: explosiveness0.763124th0.74723rd-101
pass: points added per play0.13198th0.11866th-32
pass: success rate0.42977th0.35129th-48
pass: explosiveness1.47492nd1.696110th+18
standard downs: success rate0.459101st0.46684th-17
passing downs: success rate0.29091st0.28679th-12
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.819108th3.606138th+30
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.205109th0.13313th-96
short-yardage conversion rate0.667102nd0.833117th+15
points per trip inside the 402.720127th3.47877th-50
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.169107th0.16170th-37
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09483rd0.07120th-63
havoc allowed by the secondary0.076120th0.090128th+8
average starting field position (yards from own goal)73.70022nd——

UNLV with the ball

UNLV offence vs CAL defenceUNLV offenceCAL defencerank gap
points added per play0.053107th0.01456th-51
success rate0.384118th0.36949th-69
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.21973rd1.341109th+36
rush: points added per play0.06189th0.217129th+40
rush: success rate0.397106th0.42084th-22
rush: explosiveness0.90883rd1.122123rd+40
pass: points added per play0.13597th-0.09213th-84
pass: success rate0.389102nd0.32015th-87
pass: explosiveness1.61053rd1.644100th+47
standard downs: success rate0.456104th0.43156th-48
passing downs: success rate0.227127th0.25545th-82
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.21956th3.160110th+54
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13025th0.14518th-7
short-yardage conversion rate0.667108th0.889130th+22
points per trip inside the 402.955123rd2.61525th-98
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15791st0.13127th-64
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09689th0.0635th-84
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06083rd0.06789th+6
average starting field position (yards from own goal)72.60040th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.