· away
at
Final null 16 – 22 BC
Saturday 2026-09-19 14:00 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Boston College · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

BC

Games4
Plays per game65.5
Drives per game12.0
SP+-4.6 (90th, offence 106th, defence 65th)
Returning production16% (pass 8%, rush -62%, receiving 23%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceBC
pass rate, all downs—46%87th
pass rate, standard downs—32%124th
pass rate, 1st down—30%125th
no-huddle share—51%81st
pass rate, passing downs—74%22nd
pass rate, red zone—36%80th
seconds per play (own drives)—30.146th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

BC offence

BC offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.032262127 of 138
success rate0.389262115 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.164262101 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.006262115 of 138
rush: success rate0.43926281 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.93526279 of 138
pass: points added per play0.063262110 of 138
pass: success rate0.357262126 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.53326274 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.46026299 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.244262116 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.847262103 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.252262134 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.68826298 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.091262118 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.179262120 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.111262112 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.069262107 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.20026258 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

BC defence

BC defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.00227651 of 138
success rate0.39527671 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.23727675 of 138
rush: points added per play0.00727661 of 138
rush: success rate0.39027659 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.030276101 of 138
pass: points added per play0.15527676 of 138
pass: success rate0.42227692 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.49227656 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.39827627 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.388276133 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.01627696 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.19527672 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.65027641 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.39127669 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.17427683 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.120276107 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.05427648 of 138
opponent average starting field position69.70027629 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs