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Final null 0 – 73 NCSU
Friday 2026-09-11 19:00 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

NCSU

Games4
Plays per game70.2
Drives per game12.2
SP+3.4 (58th, offence 37th, defence 84th)
Returning production60% (pass 93%, rush 101%, receiving 26%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceNCSU
pass rate, all downs—47%80th
pass rate, standard downs—37%110th
pass rate, 1st down—41%86th
no-huddle share—44%87th
pass rate, passing downs—71%32nd
pass rate, red zone—39%66th
seconds per play (own drives)—28.971st

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

NCSU offence

NCSU offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.22128154 of 138
success rate0.48828133 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20928177 of 138
rush: points added per play0.21528136 of 138
rush: success rate0.49328130 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.03728141 of 138
pass: points added per play0.25728167 of 138
pass: success rate0.48428139 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.406281110 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.54828130 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.34128151 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.29528141 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.14928147 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.84028121 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.67928125 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15728188 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09328182 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.06428195 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)70.90028164 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

NCSU defence

NCSU defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.12024393 of 138
success rate0.39924374 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.25024382 of 138
rush: points added per play0.06724384 of 138
rush: success rate0.446243106 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.96724386 of 138
pass: points added per play0.270243101 of 138
pass: success rate0.36624342 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.64324399 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.45624377 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.26424354 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.82124366 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.19024361 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.76224390 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.59124384 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.15224354 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.07024317 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.082243118 of 138
opponent average starting field position71.50024358 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs