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Final null 3 – 59 UVA
Friday 2026-09-11 19:00 · Scott Stadium
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

UVA

Games4
Plays per game73.5
Drives per game12.0
SP+14.4 (21st, offence 29th, defence 20th)
Returning production10% (pass 1%, rush 21%, receiving 9%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceUVA
pass rate, all downs—43%110th
pass rate, standard downs—37%105th
pass rate, 1st down—42%82nd
no-huddle share—8%127th
pass rate, passing downs—59%91st
pass rate, red zone—37%77th
seconds per play (own drives)—30.630th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

UVA offence

UVA offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.28429429 of 138
success rate0.47629444 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.21529475 of 138
rush: points added per play0.15029459 of 138
rush: success rate0.46729454 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.90829484 of 138
pass: points added per play0.53629414 of 138
pass: success rate0.52129420 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.58429461 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.55029427 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.257294111 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.37029431 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.13329432 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.87029410 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.65529427 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.10529419 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.07829448 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.02729410 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.400294117 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

UVA defence

UVA defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.1442439 of 138
success rate0.33324319 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)0.9552434 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.04324341 of 138
rush: success rate0.37524351 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.65124310 of 138
pass: points added per play-0.1452435 of 138
pass: success rate0.30324310 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.39724332 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.39924329 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.22224321 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.89124374 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.18824360 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.69224356 of 138
points per trip inside the 403.14324356 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.198243116 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.09924369 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.099243133 of 138
opponent average starting field position73.20024394 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs