Duke · away
at
Final DUKE 31 – 27 ILL
Saturday 2026-09-12 15:30 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Illinois · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The trenches

Pass rushsack ratestopped behind the linefacessacks allowedpairing
ILL pass rush1.1% 88135th6.5% 200116thfaces DUKE0.0% 721st0.6% ~0.2 sacks
DUKE pass rush4.7% 10779th6.7% 179113thfaces ILL3.2% 9431st3.9% ~1.3 sacks

sacks from CFBD play-by-play; college has no charted pressure, and these rates are not opponent-adjusted Measured on 7,926 team-games 2022–25: a college line's sacks-allowed rate carries +0.27 into its next game and a defence's sack rate only +0.10 — the line is most of this. The pairing predicts the game's sack rate +0.27, yards per dropback −0.16 and points added per play −0.15. Heaviest quarter of pairings against lightest: 7.8% vs 4.2% sack rate, 6.1 vs 7.2 yards per dropback.

DUKE with the ball

DUKE offence vs ILL defenceDUKE offenceILL defencerank gap
points added per play0.29524th0.193120th+96
success rate0.44663rd0.445112th+49
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.32728th1.26988th+60
rush: points added per play0.23430th0.123105th+75
rush: success rate0.42391st0.41480th-11
rush: explosiveness1.14414th1.039103rd+89
pass: points added per play0.42727th0.279107th+80
pass: success rate0.47646th0.489127th+81
pass: explosiveness1.65944th1.47852nd+8
standard downs: success rate0.49269th0.490102nd+33
passing downs: success rate0.33755th0.329111th+56
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.32337th2.76660th+23
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.16160th0.20783rd+23
short-yardage conversion rate0.75064th0.783103rd+39
points per trip inside the 404.67726th3.864105th+79
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.0896th0.13128th+22
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0434th0.06915th+11
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04653rd0.06270th+17
average starting field position (yards from own goal)67.900110th——

ILL with the ball

ILL offence vs DUKE defenceILL offenceDUKE defencerank gap
points added per play0.28428th-0.06427th-1
success rate0.51611th0.35332nd+21
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27351st1.07120th-31
rush: points added per play0.26120th-0.20510th-10
rush: success rate0.51816th0.32321st+5
rush: explosiveness1.02245th0.4393rd-42
pass: points added per play0.32351st0.02736th-15
pass: success rate0.52418th0.37447th+29
pass: explosiveness1.47590th1.45549th-41
standard downs: success rate0.56415th0.44464th+49
passing downs: success rate0.38524th0.1833rd-21
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.45126th2.62347th+21
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.11411th0.17240th+29
short-yardage conversion rate0.667103rd0.70058th-45
points per trip inside the 404.03763rd2.58822nd-41
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11431st0.18399th+68
havoc allowed by the front seven0.0457th0.10681st+74
havoc allowed by the secondary0.069109th0.077108th-1
average starting field position (yards from own goal)71.60048th——

Rank gap = the defence's FBS rank minus the offence's on the same measure: +60 means the offence ranks 60 places better than the defence it faces. Unit against unit only — college has no player charting to name a matchup by.