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Final null 3 – 73 VT
Saturday 2026-09-05 19:30 · Lane Stadium
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

VT

Games4
Plays per game79.0
Drives per game11.8
SP+12.3 (28th, offence 27th, defence 30th)
Returning production37% (pass 0%, rush 31%, receiving 54%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceVT
pass rate, all downs—51%50th
pass rate, standard downs—43%54th
pass rate, 1st down—42%75th
no-huddle share—40%90th
pass rate, passing downs—70%36th
pass rate, red zone—42%53rd
seconds per play (own drives)—26.1120th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

VT offence

VT offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.24131642 of 138
success rate0.48431636 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20531682 of 138
rush: points added per play0.14931660 of 138
rush: success rate0.50331623 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.97131669 of 138
pass: points added per play0.35731646 of 138
pass: success rate0.47131651 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.47531691 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.50431657 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.4273169 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.99431688 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.200316103 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.75031673 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.56731635 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.11131625 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.08931676 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.0223165 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)66.400316123 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

VT defence

VT defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.03023638 of 138
success rate0.33123618 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.30923699 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.14723617 of 138
rush: success rate0.2692366 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.306236135 of 138
pass: points added per play0.14223673 of 138
pass: success rate0.39123670 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.34023619 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.41323639 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.20423612 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)0.9862361 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.403236138 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.57123618 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.52223619 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.267236138 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.220236138 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.04723635 of 138
opponent average starting field position72.10023671 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs