Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). TA&M wins about 76% of the time at a number like ours.
TENN
Games
4
Plays per game
71.8
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
17.7 (14th, offence 14th, defence 26th)
Returning production
35% (pass 7%, rush 48%, receiving 52%)
TA&M
Games
4
Plays per game
74.5
Drives per game
12.2
SP+
8.9 (39th, offence 38th, defence 44th)
Returning production
73% (pass 97%, rush 68%, receiving 61%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
TENN
TA&M
pass rate, all downs
42%114th
51%49th
pass rate, standard downs
41%79th
42%60th
pass rate, 1st down
41%88th
38%104th
no-huddle share
83%40th
88%25th
pass rate, passing downs
45%134th
71%34th
pass rate, red zone
31%103rd
35%85th
seconds per play (own drives)
27.495th
29.266th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
TENN offence
TENN offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.224
287
52 of 138
success rate
0.456
287
54 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.208
287
78 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.311
287
12 of 138
rush: success rate
0.485
287
37 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.113
287
20 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.172
287
90 of 138
pass: success rate
0.431
287
76 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.361
287
119 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.517
287
45 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.300
287
84 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.540
287
16 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.138
287
36 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.833
287
24 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.308
287
5 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.143
287
73 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.101
287
101 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.042
287
41 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
70.600
287
67 of 138
TA&M offence
TA&M offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.043
298
111 of 138
success rate
0.443
298
67 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.074
298
131 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.094
298
81 of 138
rush: success rate
0.497
298
28 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.820
298
110 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.022
298
119 of 138
pass: success rate
0.385
298
107 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.405
298
112 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.478
298
86 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.366
298
34 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.216
298
57 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.166
298
65 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.850
298
15 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.360
298
43 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.161
298
93 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.077
298
46 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.084
298
130 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
67.400
298
116 of 138
TENN defence
TENN defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.086
257
22 of 138
success rate
0.358
257
39 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.064
257
18 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.081
257
90 of 138
rush: success rate
0.365
257
42 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.026
257
99 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.144
257
6 of 138
pass: success rate
0.379
257
55 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.095
257
1 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.406
257
34 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.272
257
58 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.031
257
99 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.191
257
64 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.750
257
88 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.227
257
11 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.218
257
129 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.148
257
129 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.070
257
97 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.200
257
73 of 138
TA&M defence
TA&M defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.033
226
68 of 138
success rate
0.385
226
62 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.307
226
98 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.079
226
32 of 138
rush: success rate
0.366
226
44 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.841
226
36 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.218
226
92 of 138
pass: success rate
0.408
226
77 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.851
226
130 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.426
226
51 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.281
226
70 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.764
226
59 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.179
226
45 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.714
226
69 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.053
226
54 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.177
226
87 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.115
226
100 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.062
226
71 of 138
opponent average starting field position
70.900
226
45 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs