Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). OKST wins about 91% of the time at a number like ours.
KU
Games
3
Plays per game
73.3
Drives per game
12.3
SP+
1.0 (66th, offence 70th, defence 67th)
Returning production
18% (pass -1%, rush 14%, receiving 33%)
OKST
Games
4
Plays per game
80.0
Drives per game
12.8
SP+
10.2 (34th, offence 33rd, defence 42nd)
Returning production
0% (pass 0%, rush 0%, receiving 0%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
KU
OKST
pass rate, all downs
44%100th
48%66th
pass rate, standard downs
38%98th
46%40th
pass rate, 1st down
37%108th
45%56th
no-huddle share
24%106th
97%9th
pass rate, passing downs
55%113th
56%104th
pass rate, red zone
30%106th
46%32nd
seconds per play (own drives)
26.8103rd
26.6109th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
KU offence
KU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.202
220
59 of 138
success rate
0.441
220
70 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.429
220
10 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.097
220
80 of 138
rush: success rate
0.446
220
72 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.944
220
76 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.284
220
60 of 138
pass: success rate
0.413
220
90 of 138
pass: explosiveness
2.042
220
3 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.504
220
56 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.329
220
58 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.269
220
47 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.099
220
6 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.545
220
130 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.167
220
115 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.173
220
115 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.100
220
96 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.073
220
114 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.100
220
30 of 138
OKST offence
OKST offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.161
320
68 of 138
success rate
0.491
320
31 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.108
320
125 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.071
320
87 of 138
rush: success rate
0.472
320
48 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.731
320
127 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.333
320
50 of 138
pass: success rate
0.524
320
19 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.503
320
82 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.553
320
25 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.313
320
68 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.226
320
55 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.172
320
77 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.640
320
113 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.750
320
78 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.091
320
11 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.044
320
5 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.047
320
55 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.600
320
49 of 138
KU defence
KU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.068
195
26 of 138
success rate
0.308
195
8 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.235
195
73 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.157
195
15 of 138
rush: success rate
0.268
195
5 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.765
195
25 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.275
195
105 of 138
pass: success rate
0.377
195
50 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.718
195
113 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.364
195
10 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.221
195
19 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.132
195
6 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.250
195
122 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.750
195
84 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.238
195
60 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.200
195
117 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.144
195
127 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.056
195
57 of 138
opponent average starting field position
66.200
195
6 of 138
OKST defence
OKST defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.030
252
37 of 138
success rate
0.373
252
56 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.158
252
44 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.040
252
73 of 138
rush: success rate
0.424
252
85 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.927
252
77 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.136
252
8 of 138
pass: success rate
0.301
252
9 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.639
252
96 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.456
252
78 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.198
252
8 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.082
252
105 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.167
252
34 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.611
252
28 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.000
252
48 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.163
252
75 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.083
252
44 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.079
252
113 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.400
252
56 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs