Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). WVU wins about 72% of the time at a number like ours.
KU
Games
3
Plays per game
73.3
Drives per game
12.3
SP+
1.0 (66th, offence 70th, defence 67th)
Returning production
18% (pass -1%, rush 14%, receiving 33%)
WVU
Games
4
Plays per game
74.0
Drives per game
12.5
SP+
1.4 (64th, offence 43rd, defence 92nd)
Returning production
14% (pass 62%, rush -4%, receiving 9%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
KU
WVU
pass rate, all downs
44%100th
24%135th
pass rate, standard downs
38%98th
15%136th
pass rate, 1st down
37%108th
11%137th
no-huddle share
24%106th
99%2nd
pass rate, passing downs
55%113th
51%125th
pass rate, red zone
30%106th
11%136th
seconds per play (own drives)
26.8103rd
24.7129th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
KU offence
KU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.202
220
59 of 138
success rate
0.441
220
70 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.429
220
10 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.097
220
80 of 138
rush: success rate
0.446
220
72 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.944
220
76 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.284
220
60 of 138
pass: success rate
0.413
220
90 of 138
pass: explosiveness
2.042
220
3 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.504
220
56 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.329
220
58 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.269
220
47 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.099
220
6 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.545
220
130 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.167
220
115 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.173
220
115 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.100
220
96 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.073
220
114 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.100
220
30 of 138
WVU offence
WVU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.184
296
62 of 138
success rate
0.449
296
60 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.205
296
83 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.152
296
58 of 138
rush: success rate
0.468
296
52 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.936
296
78 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.307
296
55 of 138
pass: success rate
0.400
296
99 of 138
pass: explosiveness
2.226
296
1 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.491
296
73 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.329
296
60 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.247
296
50 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.135
296
33 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.720
296
88 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.034
296
64 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.111
296
26 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.078
296
49 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.034
296
20 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
70.600
296
68 of 138
KU defence
KU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.068
195
26 of 138
success rate
0.308
195
8 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.235
195
73 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.157
195
15 of 138
rush: success rate
0.268
195
5 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.765
195
25 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.275
195
105 of 138
pass: success rate
0.377
195
50 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.718
195
113 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.364
195
10 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.221
195
19 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.132
195
6 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.250
195
122 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.750
195
84 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.238
195
60 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.200
195
117 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.144
195
127 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.056
195
57 of 138
opponent average starting field position
66.200
195
6 of 138
WVU defence
WVU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.124
280
96 of 138
success rate
0.443
280
108 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.181
280
51 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.025
280
46 of 138
rush: success rate
0.391
280
61 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.841
280
37 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.336
280
117 of 138
pass: success rate
0.511
280
134 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.442
280
44 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.520
280
125 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.262
280
52 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.902
280
78 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.203
280
81 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.706
280
66 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.269
280
63 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.154
280
55 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.114
280
98 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.039
280
16 of 138
opponent average starting field position
72.700
280
88 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs