Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). OKST wins about 53% of the time at a number like ours.
OKST
Games
4
Plays per game
80.0
Drives per game
12.8
SP+
10.2 (34th, offence 33rd, defence 42nd)
Returning production
0% (pass 0%, rush 0%, receiving 0%)
KSU
Games
4
Plays per game
74.0
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
14.0 (23rd, offence 21st, defence 34th)
Returning production
71% (pass 100%, rush 61%, receiving 57%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
OKST
KSU
pass rate, all downs
48%66th
48%67th
pass rate, standard downs
46%40th
42%63rd
pass rate, 1st down
45%56th
44%60th
no-huddle share
97%9th
76%51st
pass rate, passing downs
56%104th
63%74th
pass rate, red zone
46%32nd
43%47th
seconds per play (own drives)
26.6109th
29.168th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
OKST offence
OKST offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.161
320
68 of 138
success rate
0.491
320
31 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.108
320
125 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.071
320
87 of 138
rush: success rate
0.472
320
48 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.731
320
127 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.333
320
50 of 138
pass: success rate
0.524
320
19 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.503
320
82 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.553
320
25 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.313
320
68 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.226
320
55 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.172
320
77 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.640
320
113 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.750
320
78 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.091
320
11 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.044
320
5 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.047
320
55 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
71.600
320
49 of 138
KSU offence
KSU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.307
296
18 of 138
success rate
0.514
296
15 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.215
296
74 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.320
296
11 of 138
rush: success rate
0.560
296
6 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.016
296
52 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.305
296
56 of 138
pass: success rate
0.471
296
50 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.484
296
89 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.549
296
28 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.433
296
7 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.398
296
29 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.133
296
30 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.762
296
60 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.963
296
17 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.084
296
5 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.057
296
17 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.027
296
8 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
70.100
296
76 of 138
OKST defence
OKST defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.030
252
37 of 138
success rate
0.373
252
56 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.158
252
44 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.040
252
73 of 138
rush: success rate
0.424
252
85 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.927
252
77 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.136
252
8 of 138
pass: success rate
0.301
252
9 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.639
252
96 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.456
252
78 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.198
252
8 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.082
252
105 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.167
252
34 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.611
252
28 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.000
252
48 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.163
252
75 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.083
252
44 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.079
252
113 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.400
252
56 of 138
KSU defence
KSU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.039
223
33 of 138
success rate
0.305
223
7 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.495
223
135 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.071
223
85 of 138
rush: success rate
0.341
223
32 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.443
223
138 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.119
223
10 of 138
pass: success rate
0.258
223
1 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.643
223
98 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.333
223
3 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.266
223
56 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.511
223
32 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.256
223
126 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.417
223
5 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.857
223
103 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.238
223
134 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.193
223
137 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.045
223
30 of 138
opponent average starting field position
74.100
223
109 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs