· away
at
Final null 6 – 77 HOU
Saturday 2026-09-12 19:00 · TDECU Stadium
Houston · home
GameNewsMismatchesTeamPersonnelBettingResults

The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

HOU

Games4
Plays per game70.0
Drives per game10.5
SP+12.1 (29th, offence 15th, defence 53rd)
Returning production81% (pass 92%, rush 523%, receiving 61%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceHOU
pass rate, all downs—42%116th
pass rate, standard downs—39%88th
pass rate, 1st down—38%101st
no-huddle share—85%31st
pass rate, passing downs—52%123rd
pass rate, red zone—31%105th
seconds per play (own drives)—28.972nd

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

HOU offence

HOU offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.4392803 of 138
success rate0.5792802 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.123280118 of 138
rush: points added per play0.30728013 of 138
rush: success rate0.5782802 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.796280112 of 138
pass: points added per play0.6392805 of 138
pass: success rate0.5932803 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.58028063 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.5812807 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.5692801 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.9042803 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.0992805 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.85728013 of 138
points per trip inside the 405.12928011 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.10028015 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.05728016 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04328045 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)65.300280129 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

HOU defence

HOU defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.09924685 of 138
success rate0.39424670 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.360246112 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.09524628 of 138
rush: success rate0.34724634 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.83924635 of 138
pass: points added per play0.303246112 of 138
pass: success rate0.443246106 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.651246101 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.45124673 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.28024668 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.31824615 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.21424694 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.64324638 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.812246130 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.211246126 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.09824668 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.114246137 of 138
opponent average starting field position75.500246127 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs