Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). KSU wins about 87% of the time at a number like ours.
WSU
Games
4
Plays per game
61.0
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
-9.3 (105th, offence 120th, defence 79th)
Returning production
91% (pass 100%, rush 100%, receiving 85%)
KSU
Games
4
Plays per game
74.0
Drives per game
11.2
SP+
14.0 (23rd, offence 21st, defence 34th)
Returning production
71% (pass 100%, rush 61%, receiving 57%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
WSU
KSU
pass rate, all downs
49%60th
48%67th
pass rate, standard downs
42%61st
42%63rd
pass rate, 1st down
40%92nd
44%60th
no-huddle share
10%123rd
76%51st
pass rate, passing downs
63%69th
63%74th
pass rate, red zone
41%56th
43%47th
seconds per play (own drives)
29.070th
29.168th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
WSU offence
WSU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.037
244
128 of 138
success rate
0.365
244
125 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.265
244
54 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.008
244
112 of 138
rush: success rate
0.355
244
129 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.200
244
9 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.045
244
132 of 138
pass: success rate
0.383
244
110 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.333
244
123 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.431
244
125 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.238
244
121 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.759
244
116 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.234
244
127 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.600
244
121 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.235
244
111 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.205
244
135 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.127
244
129 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.078
244
123 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.800
244
21 of 138
KSU offence
KSU offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.307
296
18 of 138
success rate
0.514
296
15 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.215
296
74 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.320
296
11 of 138
rush: success rate
0.560
296
6 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.016
296
52 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.305
296
56 of 138
pass: success rate
0.471
296
50 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.484
296
89 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.549
296
28 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.433
296
7 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.398
296
29 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.133
296
30 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.762
296
60 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.963
296
17 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.084
296
5 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.057
296
17 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.027
296
8 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
70.100
296
76 of 138
WSU defence
WSU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.023
269
65 of 138
success rate
0.405
269
80 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.252
269
83 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.105
269
95 of 138
rush: success rate
0.433
269
97 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.974
269
90 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.086
269
59 of 138
pass: success rate
0.386
269
62 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.624
269
95 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.464
269
83 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.284
269
75 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.955
269
89 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.179
269
46 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.786
269
104 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.036
269
52 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.126
269
18 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.074
269
26 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.052
269
44 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.300
269
54 of 138
KSU defence
KSU defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.039
223
33 of 138
success rate
0.305
223
7 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.495
223
135 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.071
223
85 of 138
rush: success rate
0.341
223
32 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.443
223
138 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.119
223
10 of 138
pass: success rate
0.258
223
1 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.643
223
98 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.333
223
3 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.266
223
56 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.511
223
32 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.256
223
126 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.417
223
5 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.857
223
103 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.238
223
134 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.193
223
137 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.045
223
30 of 138
opponent average starting field position
74.100
223
109 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs