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Final null 6 – 73 UCF
Thursday 2026-09-03 19:00 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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The units, side by side

Units not built yet.

What actually happens around a number like this

Needs the card line and the college margin distribution.

null

Games—
Plays per game—
Drives per game—
SP+— (, offence , defence )
Returning production— (pass —, rush —, receiving —)

UCF

Games4
Plays per game56.8
Drives per game11.8
SP+8.7 (40th, offence 65th, defence 23rd)
Returning production25% (pass 4%, rush -17%, receiving 58%)

What each side chooses to do

OffenceUCF
pass rate, all downs—43%106th
pass rate, standard downs—38%97th
pass rate, 1st down—43%68th
no-huddle share—73%56th
pass rate, passing downs—55%112th
pass rate, red zone—24%123rd
seconds per play (own drives)—29.754th

choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.

null offence

offencevalueplaysFBS rank

UCF offence

UCF offencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play0.11922785 of 138
success rate0.43622776 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.20622781 of 138
rush: points added per play0.18022746 of 138
rush: success rate0.44522774 of 138
rush: explosiveness1.16522712 of 138
pass: points added per play0.053227113 of 138
pass: success rate0.42622779 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.278227130 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.49422767 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.29922787 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)3.05222780 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line0.17222778 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.80022741 of 138
points per trip inside the 404.76922721 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.13722765 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven0.09722792 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary0.04022734 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)63.200227136 of 138

null defence

defencevalueplaysFBS rank

UCF defence

UCF defencevalueplaysFBS rank
points added per play-0.04728932 of 138
success rate0.34328925 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)1.27528991 of 138
rush: points added per play-0.11928923 of 138
rush: success rate0.30728914 of 138
rush: explosiveness0.87228950 of 138
pass: points added per play0.07728956 of 138
pass: success rate0.38528960 of 138
pass: explosiveness1.59528987 of 138
standard downs: success rate0.40028931 of 138
passing downs: success rate0.24828939 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)2.29128913 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line0.241289114 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate0.62528934 of 138
points per trip inside the 402.30428914 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)0.17328982 of 138
havoc created by the front seven0.11128992 of 138
havoc created by the secondary0.06228973 of 138
opponent average starting field position72.50028981 of 138

points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs