Percentile among the 138 FBS teams on each measure this season, offence and defence, both teams. Raw values, plays behind them and ranks are in the tables below.
What actually happens around a number like this
Each bar is how often a college game lands on that margin, from 7,877 FBS games 2015–2025, centred on our card line. The spread misses by 12.3 points on average (37% within a touchdown). SC wins about 64% of the time at a number like ours.
SC
Games
4
Plays per game
74.0
Drives per game
11.8
SP+
7.5 (48th, offence 39th, defence 51st)
Returning production
69% (pass 65%, rush 80%, receiving 67%)
CLEM
Games
4
Plays per game
65.0
Drives per game
12.8
SP+
4.9 (54th, offence 91st, defence 24th)
Returning production
41% (pass 14%, rush -38%, receiving 71%)
What each side chooses to do
Offence
SC
CLEM
pass rate, all downs
48%71st
47%73rd
pass rate, standard downs
42%67th
43%56th
pass rate, 1st down
43%67th
45%51st
no-huddle share
52%80th
96%13th
pass rate, passing downs
63%73rd
55%111th
pass rate, red zone
42%50th
33%91st
seconds per play (own drives)
26.0122nd
27.2100th
choices, from CFBD play-by-play; a choice repeats within a season, a result mostly does not Rank 1 = highest rate / fastest among FBS.
SC offence
SC offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.227
296
51 of 138
success rate
0.476
296
43 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.228
296
68 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.302
296
14 of 138
rush: success rate
0.526
296
11 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.047
296
39 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.175
296
89 of 138
pass: success rate
0.415
296
89 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.521
296
76 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.549
296
29 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.284
296
96 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.722
296
9 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.130
296
24 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.789
296
47 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
4.296
296
49 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.122
296
39 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.068
296
27 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.054
296
72 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
73.800
296
19 of 138
CLEM offence
CLEM offence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
-0.027
260
125 of 138
success rate
0.342
260
132 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.175
260
94 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.093
260
82 of 138
rush: success rate
0.368
260
120 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.020
260
49 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.001
260
124 of 138
pass: success rate
0.328
260
131 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.400
260
114 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.405
260
129 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.228
260
125 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.764
260
114 of 138
rushes stopped at or behind the line
0.211
260
114 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.800
260
35 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
3.095
260
117 of 138
havoc allowed (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.188
260
127 of 138
havoc allowed by the front seven
0.146
260
136 of 138
havoc allowed by the secondary
0.042
260
39 of 138
average starting field position (yards from own goal)
70.400
260
71 of 138
SC defence
SC defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.151
235
104 of 138
success rate
0.362
235
43 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.556
235
137 of 138
rush: points added per play
-0.052
235
38 of 138
rush: success rate
0.327
235
25 of 138
rush: explosiveness
1.027
235
100 of 138
pass: points added per play
0.466
235
134 of 138
pass: success rate
0.412
235
78 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.903
235
133 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.390
235
23 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.315
235
101 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
2.293
235
14 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.243
235
115 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.636
235
37 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
5.059
235
134 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.136
235
35 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.089
235
54 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.047
235
34 of 138
opponent average starting field position
71.600
235
61 of 138
CLEM defence
CLEM defence
value
plays
FBS rank
points added per play
0.017
288
58 of 138
success rate
0.410
288
83 of 138
explosiveness (points added on successful plays)
1.188
288
54 of 138
rush: points added per play
0.203
288
127 of 138
rush: success rate
0.492
288
132 of 138
rush: explosiveness
0.887
288
59 of 138
pass: points added per play
-0.055
288
19 of 138
pass: success rate
0.344
288
24 of 138
pass: explosiveness
1.563
288
73 of 138
standard downs: success rate
0.430
288
55 of 138
passing downs: success rate
0.368
288
128 of 138
line yards per rush (the O-line)
3.459
288
135 of 138
rushes stopped (by this defence) at or behind the line
0.129
288
12 of 138
short-yardage conversion rate
0.727
288
74 of 138
points per trip inside the 40
2.346
288
16 of 138
havoc created (TFL, forced fumbles, breakups per play)
0.160
288
67 of 138
havoc created by the front seven
0.073
288
22 of 138
havoc created by the secondary
0.087
288
125 of 138
opponent average starting field position
74.500
288
111 of 138
points added per play: CFBD predicted points added (their EPA); positive helps the offence · success rate: share of plays that gain 50% of needed yards on 1st, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th · explosiveness: average points added on the plays that succeeded - big-play size · havoc: tackles for loss, forced fumbles, interceptions and breakups as a share of plays · rank: 1 = best among FBS teams in the direction that helps that side · fei: bcftoys.com FEI: opponent-adjusted possession efficiency, offence/defence/special teams, with FBS rank - theirs · fplus: bcftoys.com F+: FEI and SP+ combined, in standard deviations above average - theirs